Decadal changes in the North Atlantic and pacific meridional overturning circulation and heat flux

It is demonstrated that current level models, both with and without assimilation, generate too shallow an overturning in the North Atlantic (just like their predecessors) because they do not reproduce the descent of plumes of cold water from the Greenland and Norwegian Seas. Consequently, the prediction of decadal change from one such model reported by C. Wunsch and P. Heimbach is queried.