September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear near 2°C global warming above present

Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries

(2011) I Mahlstein et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world

(2011) Jennifer E. Kay et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The reversibility of sea ice loss in a state-of-the-art climate model

(2011) K. C. Armour et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate model genealogy

(2011) D. Masson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice

(2011) S. Tietsche et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis

(2011) Mark C. Serreze et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Do Climate Models Underestimate the Sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Cover?

(2011) Michael Winton   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Impact of a Reduced Arctic Sea Ice Cover on Ocean and Atmospheric Properties

(2011) Jan Sedláček et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Enhanced Modern Heat Transfer to the Arctic by Warm Atlantic Water

(2011) R. F. Spielhagen et al.   SCIENCE

Sources of spread in simulations of Arctic sea ice loss over the twenty-first century

(2010) Julien Boé et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The end of model democracy?

(2010) Reto Knutti   CLIMATIC CHANGE

What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models

(2010) Zachary Pirtle et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY

Increasing fall-winter energy loss from the Arctic Ocean and its role in Arctic temperature amplification

(2010) James A. Screen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

(2010) Irina Mahlstein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Constraints on Climate Sensitivity from Radiation Patterns in Climate Models

(2010) Markus Huber et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Arctic Ocean Warming Contributes to Reduced Polar Ice Cap

(2010) Igor V. Polyakov et al.   JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY

The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification

(2010) James A. Screen et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse gas mitigation can reduce sea-ice loss and increase polar bear persistence

(2010) Steven C. Amstrup et al.   NATURE

Arctic amplification: can the past constrain the future?

(2010) Gifford H. Miller et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Sensitivity of arctic summer sea ice coverage to global warming forcing: towards reducing uncertainty in arctic climate change projections

(2010) XIANGDONG ZHANG   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change

(2009) Jouni Räisänen et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?

(2009) Warren M. Washington et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Adjoint analysis of the 2007 all time Arctic sea-ice minimum

(2009) F. Kauker et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?

(2009) Muyin Wang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Current GCMs’ Unrealistic Negative Feedback in the Arctic

(2009) Julien Boé et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate response to regional radiative forcing during the twentieth century

(2009) Drew Shindell et al.   Nature Geoscience

September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100

(2009) Julien Boé et al.   Nature Geoscience

The future of ice sheets and sea ice: Between reversible retreat and unstoppable loss

(2009) D. Notz   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Accelerated decline in the Arctic sea ice cover

(2008) Josefino C. Comiso et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Artificial Skill due to Predictor Screening

(2008) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE