Article
Engineering, Environmental
Magnus Hieronymus, Ola Kalen
Summary: The current coastal spatial planning in Sweden fails to consider the uncertainties and time dependence of sea level rise, resulting in inaccurate flood risk assessments. The study finds that extreme events dominate flood risk for shorter planning periods, while the risk of high sea level rise becomes more important for longer planning periods.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Jinping Wang, John A. Church, Xuebin Zhang, Jonathan M. Gregory, Laure Zanna, Xianyao Chen
Summary: By combining new estimates of various factors, we find that the sea-level trends observed at 272 tide gauges distributed globally agree with the sum of contributions, indicating that the local sea-level budget is essentially closed. Sea-level changes are mainly influenced by ocean dynamics and glacial isostatic adjustment.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Charls Antony, Sabique Langodan, Hari Prasad Dasari, Yasser Abualnaja, Ibrahim Hoteit
Summary: This study examines the sea-level extremes of meteorological origin in the Red Sea and finds that the maximum sea levels reached approximately 0.30-0.50 m in the Red Sea basin, with the highest values (0.85 m) in the Gulf of Suez. These extremes are frequent during the winter months and there were no significant long-term trends over the study period.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Magnus Hieronymus
Summary: This paper introduces a statistical model called the sea level simulator v1.0 which incorporates mean sea level change and sea level extremes into a joint probabilistic framework. The model estimates flood risk as a function of height above the current mean sea level through Monte Carlo simulations. The simulator is lightweight and adaptable, and its flood risk estimates are well suited for adaptation and decision problems.
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Matteo Meli, Marco Olivieri, Claudia Romagnoli
Summary: Coastal flooding and retreat are exacerbated by sea-level rise, and this study focuses on sea-level change along the Emilia-Romagna coast, revealing discrepancies between the rise rates observed by satellite altimetry and tide gauge time series analysis.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
J. M. Majewski, A. J. Meltzner, A. D. Switzer, T. A. Shaw, T. Li, S. Bradley, J. S. Walker, R. E. Kopp, D. Samanta, D. H. Natawidjaja, B. W. Suwargadi, B. P. Horton
Summary: The small number of reliable long-term tide gauges in tropical locations is a major source of uncertainty in modern sea-level change. By studying coral microatolls, researchers obtained a record of relative sea-level change in Mapur Island from the 20th and 21st centuries. By combining this data with tide gauge data, they were able to determine a relatively stable rate of RSL change.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Petra Zemunik, Clea Denamiel, Joanne Williams, Ivica Vilibic
Summary: The global connections between nonseismic sea-level oscillations at tsunami timescales (NSLOTTs) and synoptic patterns are quantified for a large number of tide gauge sites around the world. Mid-troposphere wind speed is found to be the most correlated synoptic variable with NSLOTTs. The results of this study could contribute to a broader understanding of NSLOTT events and have various applications in climate studies and operational forecasts.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Ivar Kapsi, Tarmo Kall, Aive Liibusk
Summary: This article provides an overview of relative and absolute sea level rise in the Baltic Sea using various studies and models. It shows that the relative sea level rise in the Baltic Sea between 1995-2019 was between -5 to 4.5 mm/yr, with the southern area being more affected. The research also predicts a maximum relative sea level rise of 0.3 to 0.7 m in the Baltic Sea by 2100. In Estonia, the coastal area experienced a relative sea level rise of -1.1 to 3.1 mm/yr, with the west and southwest areas being most threatened.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Aerospace
Yanguang Fu, Xinghua Zhou, Dongxu Zhou, Jie Li, Wanjun Zhang
Summary: A 24-year study on sea level variability in the South China Sea showed a rising trend with good agreement between satellite and tide gauge data, indicating a rise of 4.4 mm per year. The results demonstrated high correlation and consistency between the two datasets.
ADVANCES IN SPACE RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Ying Qu, Svetlana Jevrejeva, Shijin Wang
Summary: This study examines sea level acceleration and its contributors in the China Seas. It finds that coastal communities are at risk due to accelerated sea level rise. The study discovers that changes in mass and steric sea level are the main factors driving sea level acceleration near the coast and in the open ocean respectively. Additionally, it reveals that the variability of ENSO and PDO dominate the changing patterns of sea level acceleration in the open ocean.
Article
Oceanography
Sida Li, Thomas Wahl, Christopher Piecuch, Sonke Dangendorf, Philip Thompson, Alejandra Enriquez, Lintao Liu
Summary: High-tide flooding (HTF) is generated by various processes at different scales and regions, with little understanding of how these processes interact. Our study reveals the role of compounding effects between sea-level components in driving HTF along the US coastline. Compounding effects contribute to both the frequency and magnitude of HTF, with the Gulf and northwest coasts exhibiting high potential for compound HTF. Long-term sea-level rise is the main driver of accelerated HTF, but changes in compounding effects due to climate variability also influence compound HTF. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering compounding effects when projecting future HTF events.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS
(2023)
Review
Oceanography
Jadranka Sepic, Miroslava Pasaric, Iva Meltugorac, Ivica Vilibic, Maja Karlovic, Marko Mlinar
Summary: The study examines the episodes of extreme high sea levels in the Adriatic Sea and identifies the different components that contribute to these episodes. The results show significant differences between the northern and middle/southern Adriatic, as well as between positive and negative extremes. The research also reveals the predominant factors that cause these extremes in different regions.
PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Olle Raty, Marko Laine, Ulpu Leijala, Jani Sarkka, Milla M. Johansson
Summary: Traditionally, occurrence probabilities of extreme sea levels for coastal planning have been estimated individually at each tide-gauge location. However, these estimates have uncertainties due to limited extreme cases and lack of information on sea-level extremes between locations. This study uses Bayesian hierarchical modelling to estimate return levels of annual maxima of short-term sea-level variations in the Finnish coastal region, providing narrower uncertainty ranges compared to tide-gauge-specific fits.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Yilin Yang, Qiuming Cheng, Jin-Yeu Tsou, Ka-Po Wong, Yanzhuo Men, Yuanzhi Zhang
Summary: This study uses the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method to analyze water level time series data from three tide gauges along the coast of Hong Kong, revealing the multidimensional change characteristics and response mechanisms of sea level in the northern South China Sea (SCS). The research finds distinct seasonal, interannual, decadal, and interdecadal variations in sea-level changes. Additionally, the study explores the impact of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on sea-level changes in the region and proposes a sea-level prediction method combining EEMD with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks. The findings provide valuable insights for evaluating the risks of sea-level rise and informing response strategies.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Fialho Paloge Juma Nehama, Zeinul Dufa Hassane Veriua, Clousa Maueua, Angela Hibbert, Francisco Calafat, Peter David Cotton
Summary: Satellite altimetry data provide a solution to the lack of in situ tide gauge data and are validated against tide gauge observations in Mozambique. Good agreement was found in three out of four coastal stations, with differences in amplitude and timing of annual and semi-annual cycles. The study concluded that altimetry data for Pemba and Maputo are valid for coastal risk analysis.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2022)