Probabilistic Estimates of Transient Climate Sensitivity Subject to Uncertainty in Forcing and Natural Variability

Constraining climate sensitivity with linear fits to outgoing radiation

(2010) Daniel M. Murphy   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Compensation between Model Feedbacks and Curtailment of Climate Sensitivity

(2010) Peter Huybers   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Probing the Fast and Slow Components of Global Warming by Returning Abruptly to Preindustrial Forcing

(2010) Isaac M. Held et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Identifying Signatures of Natural Climate Variability in Time Series of Global-Mean Surface Temperature: Methodology and Insights

(2009) David W. J. Thompson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Shape of Things to Come: Why Is Climate Change So Predictable?

(2009) Marcia B. Baker et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Constraints on the transient climate response from observed global temperature and ocean heat uptake

(2008) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well?

(2008) Reto Knutti   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change

(2008) J. M. Gregory et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH