Journal
ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE
Volume 70, Issue 2, Pages 329-341Publisher
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fss163
Keywords
asymptotic length; bias; length-based methods; length frequency; seasonality; total mortality
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Funding
- Federal Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Consumer Protection, Germany [03HS030]
- EU-FP7 Project COEXIST [245178]
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We tested the sensitivity of eight methods for estimating total mortality from size frequencies (modified Wetherall; Powell; Beverton and Holt; Jones and van Zalinge; Hoenig; Ssentongo and Larkin; seasonal and non-seasonal Length Converted Catch Curve) to violations of basic assumptions, such as seasonal growth, mortality, recruitment and variable asymptotic length L-infinity or growth parameter K. For each method, bias was estimated by simulating length frequency distributions with different combinations of known L-infinity, Z and K values, calculating theta (Z/K) and L-infinity estimates, and comparing the true input with the estimated output values. Input mortality was generally underestimated by all methods and in 27% of all simulations no method provided estimates within theta +/- 1. Spring recruitment especially negatively influenced the mortality estimate. A decision tree was developed that provides general guidance in selecting appropriate methods despite violated assumptions, but species-specific case studies are recommended. An example of a species-specific study is provided for the brown shrimp, Crangon crangon. Despite inherent limitations for all methods, the results illustrate that estimates of theta and Z for brown shrimp can be improved substantially by selecting suitable methods and correcting for observed bias.
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