GLUE: 20 years on

A guide to good practice in modeling semantics for authors and referees

(2013) Keith Beven et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Causal models as multiple working hypotheses about environmental processes

(2012) Keith Beven   COMPTES RENDUS GEOSCIENCE

On virtual observatories and modelled realities (or why discharge must be treated as a virtual variable)

(2012) Keith Beven et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

So how much of your error is epistemic? Lessons from Japan and Italy

(2012) Keith Beven   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Benchmarking observational uncertainties for hydrology: rainfall, river discharge and water quality

(2012) Hilary McMillan et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Why Risk Analysis is Difficult, and Some Thoughts on How to Proceed

(2012) Yakov Ben-Haim   RISK ANALYSIS

Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) and approximate Bayesian computation: What's the connection?

(2012) David J. Nott et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A blueprint for process-based modeling of uncertain hydrological systems

(2012) Alberto Montanari et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

I believe in climate change but how precautionary do we need to be in planning for the future?

(2011) Keith Beven   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

On red herrings and real herrings: disinformation and information in hydrological inference

(2011) Keith Beven et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation by Differential Evolution with Self-Adaptive Randomized Subspace Sampling

(2011) J. A. Vrugt et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NONLINEAR SCIENCES AND NUMERICAL SIMULATION

Rainfall uncertainty in hydrological modelling: An evaluation of multiplicative error models

(2011) Hilary McMillan et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Approximate Bayesian computational methods

(2011) Jean-Michel Marin et al.   STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Typology of hydrologic predictability

(2011) Praveen Kumar   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling

(2011) Martyn P. Clark et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

High-dimensional posterior exploration of hydrologic models using multiple-try DREAM(ZS) and high-performance computing

(2011) Eric Laloy et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Preferential flows and travel time distributions: defining adequate hypothesis tests for hydrological process models

(2010) Keith J. Beven   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Stage-discharge uncertainty derived with a non-stationary rating curve in the Choluteca River, Honduras

(2010) I. Westerberg et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

There are no hydrological monsters, just models and observations with large uncertainties!

(2010) George Kuczera et al.   HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES

Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling: 2. Impact of time stepping schemes on model analysis and prediction

(2010) Dmitri Kavetski et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A formal likelihood function for parameter and predictive inference of hydrologic models with correlated, heteroscedastic, and non-Gaussian errors

(2010) Gerrit Schoups et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors

(2010) Benjamin Renard et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Temporal sampling strategies and uncertainty in calibrating a conceptual hydrological model for a small boreal catchment

(2009) John Juston et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Towards a limits of acceptability approach to the calibration of hydrological models: Extending observation error

(2009) Yanli Liu et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling

(2009) Hoshin V. Gupta et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Rainfall-runoff model calibration using informal likelihood measures within a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling scheme

(2009) Hilary McMillan et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A limits of acceptability approach to model evaluation and uncertainty estimation in flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation: Skalka catchment, Czech Republic

(2009) Sarka Blazkova et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Critical evaluation of parameter consistency and predictive uncertainty in hydrological modeling: A case study using Bayesian total error analysis

(2009) Mark Thyer et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation

(2008) Paul Smith et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling

(2008) Roberta-Serena Blasone et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?

(2008) Keith J. Beven et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Uncertainty assessment of integrated distributed hydrological models using GLUE with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling

(2008) Roberta-Serena Blasone et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Approximate Bayesian computation scheme for parameter inference and model selection in dynamical systems

(2008) T. Toni et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Comment on “Equifinality of formal (DREAM) and informal (GLUE) Bayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?” by Jasper A. Vrugt, Cajo J. F. ter Braak, Hoshin V. Gupta and Bruce A. Robinson

(2008) Keith J. Beven   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Uncertainty assessment of a process-based integrated catchment model of phosphorus

(2008) Sarah Dean et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Equifinality of formal (DREAM) and informal (GLUE) Bayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?

(2008) Jasper A. Vrugt et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Identifying Unsaturated Hydraulic Parameters Using an Integrated Data Fusion Approach on Cross-Borehole Geophysical Data

(2008) Majken C. Looms et al.   VADOSE ZONE JOURNAL

Treatment of input uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Doing hydrology backward with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation

(2008) Jasper A. Vrugt et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Appraisal of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) method

(2008) Jery R. Stedinger et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

An empirical method to improve the prediction limits of the GLUE methodology in rainfall–runoff modeling

(2007) Lihua Xiong et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY