What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?

Anticipating the spatio-temporal response of plant diversity and vegetation structure to climate and land use change in a protected area

(2014) Isabelle Boulangeat et al.   ECOGRAPHY

On using integral projection models to generate demographically driven predictions of species' distributions: development and validation using sparse data

(2014) Cory Merow et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics?

(2014) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts

(2014) R. S. Snell et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Data availability constrains model complexity, generality, and utility: a response to Evans et al.

(2014) Mike Lonergan   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

A practical guide to MaxEnt for modeling species’ distributions: what it does, and why inputs and settings matter

(2013) Cory Merow et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The importance of temporal climate variability for spatial patterns in plant diversity

(2013) Andrew D. Letten et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models

(2013) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The problem of pattern and scale in ecology: what have we learned in 20 years?

(2013) Jérôme Chave   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Imperfect detection impacts the performance of species distribution models

(2013) José J. Lahoz-Monfort et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Fitting and Interpreting Occupancy Models

(2013) Alan H. Welsh et al.   PLoS One

Model-Based Control of Observer Bias for the Analysis of Presence-Only Data in Ecology

(2013) David I. Warton et al.   PLoS One

Do simple models lead to generality in ecology?

(2013) Matthew R. Evans et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Prevalence, thresholds and the performance of presence-absence models

(2013) Callum R. Lawson et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Nondetection sampling bias in marked presence-only data

(2013) Trevor J. Hefley et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Predicting to new environments: tools for visualizing model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions

(2012) Damaris Zurell et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

A new method for dealing with residual spatial autocorrelation in species distribution models

(2012) Beth Crase et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Cross-validation of species distribution models: removing spatial sorting bias and calibration with a null model

(2012) Robert J. Hijmans   ECOLOGY

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

(2012) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY

Accounting for dispersal and biotic interactions to disentangle the drivers of species distributions and their abundances

(2012) Isabelle Boulangeat et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

(2012) Frank M. Schurr et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Improving the prediction of plant species distribution and community composition by adding edaphic to topo-climatic variables

(2012) Anne Dubuis et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Does including physiology improve species distribution model predictions of responses to recent climate change?

(2011) Lauren B. Buckley et al.   ECOLOGY

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents

(2011) W. D. Kissling et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology

(2011) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Comparative interpretation of count, presence-absence and point methods for species distribution models

(2011) Geert Aarts et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Fine-scale environmental variation in species distribution modelling: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice

(2011) Greg J. McInerny et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography

(2010) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

New trends in species distribution modelling

(2010) Niklaus E. Zimmermann et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Decomposing environmental, spatial, and spatiotemporal components of species distributions

(2010) Torsten Hothorn et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Regression analysis of spatial data

(2010) Colin M. Beale et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A multi-trait approach reveals the structure and the relative importance of intra- vs. interspecific variability in plant traits

(2010) Cécile Hélène Albert et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Variable Importance Assessment in Regression: Linear Regression versus Random Forest

(2009) Ulrike Grömping   AMERICAN STATISTICIAN

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Multivariate forecasts of potential distributions of invasive plant species

(2009) Inés Ibáñez et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data

(2009) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

The effect of species response form on species distribution model prediction and inference

(2009) Truly Santika et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Importance of abiotic stress as a range-limit determinant for European plants: insights from species responses to climatic gradients

(2009) Signe Normand et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Spatially autocorrelated sampling falsely inflates measures of accuracy for presence-only niche models

(2009) Samuel D. Veloz   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species

(2009) N. E. Zimmermann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives

(2009) R. D. Holt   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Conditional Variable Importance for Random Forests

(2008) Carolin Strobl et al.   BMC BIOINFORMATICS

Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation

(2008) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOGRAPHY

AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models

(2007) Jorge M. Lobo et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY