Decadal climate predictions improved by ocean ensemble dispersion filtering

MiKlip: A National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction

(2016) Jochem Marotzke et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific

(2016) Mao-Lin Shen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Evaluation of forecasts by accuracy and spread in the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system

(2016) Christopher Kadow et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Revealing skill of the MiKlip decadal prediction system by three-dimensional probabilistic evaluation

(2016) Sophie Stolzenberger et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Probabilistic evaluation of decadal prediction skill regarding Northern Hemisphere winter storms

(2016) Tim Kruschke et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Ensemble size impact on the decadal predictive skill assessment

(2016) Frank Sienz et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

(2014) Rosie Eade et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Evaluating decadal predictions of northern hemispheric cyclone frequencies

(2014) Tim Kruschke et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A comparison of full-field and anomaly initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction

(2013) Doug M. Smith et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Improved forecast skill in the tropics in the new MiKlip decadal climate predictions

(2013) H. Pohlmann et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Ability of CMIP5 Models to Simulate North Atlantic Extratropical Cyclones*

(2013) Giuseppe Zappa et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4

(2013) Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Characteristics of the ocean simulations in the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) the ocean component of the MPI-Earth system model

(2013) J. H. Jungclaus et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Atmospheric component of the MPI-M Earth System Model: ECHAM6

(2013) Bjorn Stevens et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

(2012) L. Goddard et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Decadal Prediction Case Study: Late Twentieth-Century North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

(2012) Stephen Yeager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Hemispheric and large-scale land-surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010

(2012) P. D. Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N

(2012) D. Matei et al.   SCIENCE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Skillful predictions of decadal trends in global mean surface temperature

(2011) J. C. Fyfe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1. Measurement and sampling uncertainties

(2011) J. J. Kennedy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system

(2011) D. P. Dee et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Decadal Climate Predictability and Prediction: Where Are We?

(2010) Vikram Mehta et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Decadal Prediction

(2009) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Initializing Decadal Climate Predictions with the GECCO Oceanic Synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic

(2009) Holger Pohlmann et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Towards a GME ensemble forecasting system: Ensemble initialization using the breeding technique

(2009) Jan D. Keller et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Analysis of self-describing gridded geoscience data with netCDF Operators (NCO)

(2008) Charles S. Zender   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector

(2008) N. S. Keenlyside et al.   NATURE