On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The extreme forecast index at the seasonal scale

(2013) E. Dutra et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast for the Northern Hemisphere Winter

(2012) Hye-Mi Kim et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Towards the probabilistic Earth-system simulator: a vision for the future of climate and weather prediction

(2012) T. N. Palmer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

ECMWF seasonal forecast system 3 and its prediction of sea surface temperature

(2011) Timothy N. Stockdale et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations with the ECMWF Model in Project Athena: Experimental Design, Model Climate, and Seasonal Forecast Skill

(2011) T. Jung et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system

(2011) D. P. Dee et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century

(2010) Melvyn Shapiro et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Toward a New Generation of World Climate Research and Computing Facilities

(2010) J. Shukla et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting

(2010) Alberto Arribas et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

(2009) A. Weisheimer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Impact of the QBO on surface winter climate

(2009) Andrew G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean–atmosphere models

(2008) Emilia K. Jin et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Impact of the Stratosphere on the Winter Tropospheric Teleconnections between ENSO and the North Atlantic and European Region

(2008) Chiara Cagnazzo et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE