Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution

Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations

(2016) Omar Bellprat et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Calibrating Climate Change Time-Slice Projections with Estimates of Seasonal Forecast Reliability

(2016) M. Matsueda et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evaluating Simulated Fraction of Attributable Risk Using Climate Observations

(2016) Fraser C. Lott et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Tropical Atmospheric Forcing of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation

(2016) Bin Yu et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Bayesian Framework for Verification and Recalibration of Ensemble Forecasts: How Uncertain is NAO Predictability?

(2016) Stefan Siegert et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited

(2016) Matthew Newman et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Skilful predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead

(2016) Nick Dunstone et al.   Nature Geoscience

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

(2016) Nathalie Schaller et al.   Nature Climate Change

Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability

(2015) W. Shi et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events

(2015) Peter A. Stott et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Contrasting interannual and multidecadal NAO variability

(2014) T. Woollings et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Decadal climate predictions for the period 1901-2010 with a coupled climate model

(2014) W. A. Müller et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters

(2014) A. A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Can the 2011 East African drought be attributed to human-induced climate change?

(2013) Fraser C. Lott et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following stratospheric sudden warmings

(2013) M. Sigmond et al.   Nature Geoscience

A New HadGEM3-A-Based System for Attribution of Weather- and Climate-Related Extreme Events

(2012) Nikolaos Christidis et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000

(2011) Pardeep Pall et al.   NATURE

The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system

(2011) D. P. Dee et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Editorial

(2010) T. N. Palmer et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Cross-Frequency Coupling, Skewness, and Blocking in the Northern Hemisphere Winter Circulation

(2009) Kevin J. Rennert et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Finite Samples and Uncertainty Estimates for Skill Measures for Seasonal Prediction

(2009) Arun Kumar   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A New Rossby Wave–Breaking Interpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation

(2008) Tim Woollings et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES