Prospects for a prolonged slowdown in global warming in the early 21st century

The impact of a future solar minimum on climate change projections in the Northern Hemisphere

(2016) G Chiodo et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

(2016) Mark Richardson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

(2016) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Determining the likelihood of pauses and surges in global warming

(2015) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing

(2015) Bjorn Stevens   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?

(2015) Rowan Sutton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures

(2015) Byron A. Steinman et al.   SCIENCE

Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum

(2015) Sarah Ineson et al.   Nature Communications

Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus

(2015) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming

(2015) C. D. Roberts et al.   Nature Climate Change

Atlantic-induced pan-tropical climate change over the past three decades

(2015) Xichen Li et al.   Nature Climate Change

Implications for climate sensitivity from the response to individual forcings

(2015) Kate Marvel et al.   Nature Climate Change

The implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates

(2014) Nicholas Lewis et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries

(2014) Nicola Maher et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures

(2014) T. Laepple et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reconciling warming trends

(2014) Gavin A. Schmidt et al.   Nature Geoscience

Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled

(2014) Markus Huber et al.   Nature Geoscience

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Ocean surface temperature variability: Large model–data differences at decadal and longer periods

(2014) Thomas Laepple et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Varying planetary heat sink led to global-warming slowdown and acceleration

(2014) X. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Recent observed and simulated warming

(2014) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Well-estimated global surface warming in climate projections selected for ENSO phase

(2014) James S. Risbey et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming

(2014) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming

(2014) Shayne McGregor et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Could a future “Grand Solar Minimum” like the Maunder Minimum stop global warming?

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?

(2013) Rong Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms

(2013) N. J. Dunstone et al.   Nature Geoscience

Energy budget constraints on climate response

(2013) Alexander Otto et al.   Nature Geoscience

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

(2013) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The GFDL CM3 Coupled Climate Model: Characteristics of the Ocean and Sea Ice Simulations

(2011) Stephen M. Griffies et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Dynamical Core, Physical Parameterizations, and Basic Simulation Characteristics of the Atmospheric Component AM3 of the GFDL Global Coupled Model CM3

(2011) Leo J. Donner et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

(2010) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Are historical records sufficient to constrain ENSO simulations?

(2009) Andrew T. Wittenberg   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS