标题
Forecasting for COVID-19 has failed
作者
关键词
Forecasting, COVID-19, Mortality, Hospital bed utilization, Bayesian models, SIR models, Bias, Validation
出版物
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
Volume 38, Issue 2, Pages 423-438
出版商
Elsevier BV
发表日期
2020-08-26
DOI
10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.08.004
参考文献
相关参考文献
注意：仅列出部分参考文献，下载原文获取全部文献信息。- Coronavirus disease 2019: The harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures
- (2020) John P. A. Ioannidis EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION
- Predictive Mathematical Models of the COVID-19 Pandemic
- (2020) Nicholas P. Jewell et al. JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION
- COVID-19: PCR screening of asymptomatic health-care workers at London hospital
- (2020) Thomas A Treibel et al. LANCET
- Tail risk of contagious diseases
- (2020) Pasquale Cirillo et al. Nature Physics
- Wrong but Useful — What Covid-19 Epidemiologic Models Can and Cannot Tell Us
- (2020) Inga Holmdahl et al. NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE
- Reduced Rate of Hospital Admissions for ACS during Covid-19 Outbreak in Northern Italy
- (2020) Ovidio De Filippo et al. NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE
- Asymptomatic Transmission, the Achilles’ Heel of Current Strategies to Control Covid-19
- (2020) Monica Gandhi et al. NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE
- Presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Transmission in a Skilled Nursing Facility
- (2020) Melissa M. Arons et al. NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE
- What Other Countries Can Learn From Italy During the COVID-19 Pandemic
- (2020) Stefania Boccia et al. JAMA Internal Medicine
- Detection of SARS-CoV-2 Among Residents and Staff Members of an Independent and Assisted Living Community for Older Adults — Seattle, Washington, 2020
- (2020) Alison C. Roxby et al. MMWR-MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY WEEKLY REPORT
- A case study in model failure? COVID-19 daily deaths and ICU bed utilisation predictions in New York state
- (2020) Vincent Chin et al. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
- Five ways to ensure that models serve society: a manifesto
- (2020) Andrea Saltelli et al. NATURE
- Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
- (2020) Seth Flaxman et al. NATURE
- Should governments continue lockdown to slow the spread of covid-19?
- (2020) Edward R Melnick et al. BMJ-British Medical Journal
- Population-level COVID-19 mortality risk for non-elderly individuals overall and for non-elderly individuals without underlying diseases in pandemic epicenters
- (2020) John P.A. Ioannidis et al. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
- Effectiveness of personal protective measures in reducing pandemic influenza transmission: A systematic review and meta-analysis
- (2017) Patrick Saunders-Hastings et al. Epidemics
- Clinical Impact of Human Coronaviruses 229E and OC43 Infection in Diverse Adult Populations
- (2013) E. E. Walsh et al. JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Discover Peeref hubs
Discuss science. Find collaborators. Network.
Join a conversationAdd your recorded webinar
Do you already have a recorded webinar? Grow your audience and get more views by easily listing your recording on Peeref.
Upload Now