4.7 Article

30% land conservation and climate action reduces tropical extinction risk by more than 50%

期刊

ECOGRAPHY
卷 43, 期 7, 页码 943-953

出版社

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/ecog.05166

关键词

area-based conservation; biodiversity; climate change; conservation planning; extinction risk

资金

  1. Global Environment Facility grant [GEF-5810]
  2. National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, a center - NSF [EF-0553768]
  3. Univ. of California, Santa Barbara
  4. State of California
  5. iPlant Collaborative (NSF) [DBI-0735191]
  6. European Union [746334]
  7. Danish National Research Foundation [DNRF96]
  8. Marie Curie International Outgoing Fellowship within the 7th European Community Framework Program (DiversiTraits project) [221060]
  9. European Research Council (ERC) Starting Grant Project [ERC-StG-2014-639706-CONSTRAINTS]
  10. Center for Informatics Research on Complexity in Ecology (CIRCE) - Aarhus University Research Foundation under the AU Ideas program
  11. University of Arizona Bridging Biodiversity and Conservation Science program
  12. NSF [DBI-1913673]
  13. VILLUM FONDEN [16549]
  14. Marie Curie Actions (MSCA) [746334] Funding Source: Marie Curie Actions (MSCA)

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Limiting climate change to less than 2 degrees C is the focus of international policy under the climate convention (UNFCCC), and is essential to preventing extinctions, a focus of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD). The post-2020 biodiversity framework drafted by the CBD proposes conserving 30% of both land and oceans by 2030. However, the combined impact on extinction risk of species from limiting climate change and increasing the extent of protected and conserved areas has not been assessed. Here we create conservation spatial plans to minimize extinction risk in the tropics using data on 289 219 species and modeling two future greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCP2.6 and 8.5) while varying the extent of terrestrial protected land and conserved areas from <17% to 50%. We find that limiting climate change to 2 degrees C and conserving 30% of terrestrial area could more than halve aggregate extinction risk compared with uncontrolled climate change and no increase in conserved area.

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