An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09

Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices

(2014) Roman Frigg et al.   PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts

(2014) Leonard A. Smith et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

On predicting climate under climate change

(2013) Joseph D Daron et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited

(2013) Wendy Parker   STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigm

(2012) Craig H. Bishop et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Causal models as multiple working hypotheses about environmental processes

(2012) Keith Beven   COMPTES RENDUS GEOSCIENCE

Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models

(2012) Wendy S. Parker   PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know?

(2012) Naomi Oreskes et al.   PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Parameter estimation through ignorance

(2012) Hailiang Du et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW E

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

Usable Science? The U.K. Climate Projections 2009 and Decision Support for Adaptation Planning

(2012) Samuel Tang et al.   Weather Climate and Society

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models. Part II: robustness of methodological choices and consequences for climate sensitivity

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability

(2010) Wendy S. Parker   STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF MODERN PHYSICS

Decadal Prediction

(2009) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Would Advance Knowledge of 1930s SSTs Have Allowed Prediction of the Dust Bowl Drought?*

(2008) Richard Seager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Efficient Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions

(2008) Jonathan Rougier   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND GRAPHICAL STATISTICS

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY