Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigm

Climate model genealogy

(2011) D. Masson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Understanding the CMIP3 Multimodel Ensemble

(2011) J. D. Annan et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble

(2010) J. D. Annan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

On the Effective Number of Climate Models

(2010) Christopher Pennell et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill?

(2009) C. Reifen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models

(2009) Richard L. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Particle Filtering in Geophysical Systems

(2009) Peter Jan van Leeuwen   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Obstacles to High-Dimensional Particle Filtering

(2008) Chris Snyder et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Ensemble forecasting

(2007) M. Leutbecher et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS