Precipitation and winter temperature predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds

The past, present and potential future distributions of cold-adapted bird species

(2013) Sarah E. Smith et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Species distribution modelling for the people: unclassified landsat TM imagery predicts bird occurrence at fine resolutions

(2013) S. M. Shirley et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Protected area networks and savannah bird biodiversity in the face of climate change and land degradation

(2013) Colin M. Beale et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Climate-change-driven deterioration of the condition of floodplain forest and the future for the avifauna

(2013) Ralph Mac Nally et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Heavy rainfall increases nestling mortality of an arctic top predator: experimental evidence and long-term trend in peregrine falcons

(2013) Alexandre Anctil et al.   OECOLOGIA

Fitting and Interpreting Occupancy Models

(2013) Alan H. Welsh et al.   PLoS One

Validating Predictions from Climate Envelope Models

(2013) James I. Watling et al.   PLoS One

Identifying the World's Most Climate Change Vulnerable Species: A Systematic Trait-Based Assessment of all Birds, Amphibians and Corals

(2013) Wendy B. Foden et al.   PLoS One

Climate Change and the Past, Present, and Future of Biotic Interactions

(2013) J. L. Blois et al.   SCIENCE

The Future of Species Under Climate Change: Resilience or Decline?

(2013) C. Moritz et al.   SCIENCE

Observed and predicted effects of climate change on species abundance in protected areas

(2013) Alison Johnston et al.   Nature Climate Change

The relative importance of climate and habitat in determining the distributions of species at different spatial scales: a case study with ground beetles in Great Britain

(2012) Phillipa K. Gillingham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Exploring the role of physiology and biotic interactions in determining elevational ranges of tropical animals

(2012) Jill E. Jankowski et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

(2012) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY

Baseline corticosterone is positively related to juvenile survival in a migrant passerine bird

(2012) James W. Rivers et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

The push and pull of climate change causes heterogeneous shifts in avian elevational ranges

(2012) Morgan W. Tingley et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Tracking of climatic niche boundaries under recent climate change

(2012) Frank A. La Sorte et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Testing the predictive performance of distribution models

(2012) Volker Bahn et al.   OIKOS

Climatic Associations of British Species Distributions Show Good Transferability in Time but Low Predictive Accuracy for Range Change

(2012) Giovanni Rapacciuolo et al.   PLoS One

Climate-induced range contraction drives genetic erosion in an alpine mammal

(2012) Emily M. Rubidge et al.   Nature Climate Change

Modelling changes in species’ abundance in response to projected climate change

(2011) Anna R. Renwick et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Maintaining northern peatland ecosystems in a changing climate: effects of soil moisture, drainage and drain blocking on craneflies

(2011) MATTHEW J. CARROLL et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Potential source and sink locations for climate-driven species range shifts in Europe since the Last Glacial Maximum

(2011) Ralf Ohlemüller et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards the modelling of true species distributions

(2011) Marc Kéry   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species' Optimum Elevations

(2011) S. M. Crimmins et al.   SCIENCE

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

How much do we overestimate future local extinction rates when restricting the range of occurrence data in climate suitability models?

(2010) Morgane Barbet-Massin et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Applying species–energy theory to conservation: a case study for North American birds

(2010) Linda Bowers Phillips et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Movement distances enhance validity of predictive models

(2010) Chia-Ying Ko et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Modeling plant ranges over 75 years of climate change in California, USA: temporal transferability and species traits

(2010) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

From climate change predictions to actions - conserving vulnerable animal groups in hotspots at a regional scale

(2010) SÍLVIA B. CARVALHO et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe

(2010) ROBIN ENGLER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate

(2010) SOLOMON Z. DOBROWSKI   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Challenges in using land use and land cover data for global change studies

(2010) PETER H. VERBURG et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The contributions of topoclimate and land cover to species distributions and abundance: fine-resolution tests for a mountain butterfly fauna

(2010) Javier Gutiérrez Illán et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Dominant climate influences on North American bird distributions

(2010) Alberto Jiménez-Valverde et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Avian distributions under climate change: towards improved projections

(2010) F. A. La Sorte et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL BIOLOGY

Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternative forecasting methods

(2009) Adam C. Algar et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Historically calibrated predictions of butterfly species' range shift using global change as a pseudo-experiment

(2009) Heather M. Kharouba et al.   ECOLOGY

Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence

(2009) CHRISTOPHE F. RANDIN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Impacts of climate on prey abundance account for fluctuations in a population of a northern wader at the southern edge of its range

(2009) JAMES W. PEARCE-HIGGINS et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Re-Shuffling of Species with Climate Disruption: A No-Analog Future for California Birds?

(2009) Diana Stralberg et al.   PLoS One

Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird population size from observed climatic change

(2008) R. E Green et al.   Biology Letters

Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia

(2008) Peter B. Pearman et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Food for thought: supplementary feeding as a driver of ecological change in avian populations

(2008) Gillian N Robb et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

A working guide to boosted regression trees

(2008) J. Elith et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Phylogenetic patterns of species loss in Thoreau's woods are driven by climate change

(2008) C. G. Willis et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Opening the climate envelope reveals no macroscale associations with climate in European birds

(2008) C. M. Beale et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Birds are tracking climate warming, but not fast enough

(2008) V. Devictor et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models

(2007) Jorge M. Lobo et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY