Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in the presence of natural climate variability

An Objective Bayesian Improved Approach for Applying Optimal Fingerprint Techniques to Estimate Climate Sensitivity*

(2013) Nicholas Lewis   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate Change Projections in CESM1(CAM5) Compared to CCSM4

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Energy budget constraints on climate response

(2013) Alexander Otto et al.   Nature Geoscience

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

What is the effect of unresolved internal climate variability on climate sensitivity estimates?

(2013) R. Olson et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models

(2013) Piers M. Forster et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of hemispheric temperatures and global ocean heat content

(2012) Magne Aldrin et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010

(2012) S. Levitus et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity

(2012)   NATURE

Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty

(2012) Norman G. Loeb et al.   Nature Geoscience

An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations

(2012) Graeme L. Stephens et al.   Nature Geoscience

The Community Climate System Model Version 4

(2011) Peter R. Gent et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance

(2011) Markus Huber et al.   Nature Geoscience

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise

(2008) Catia M. Domingues et al.   NATURE

The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes

(2008) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Geoscience