4.6 Article

Obesity Paradox Conditioning on Disease Enhances Biases in Estimating the Mortality Risks of Obesity

期刊

EPIDEMIOLOGY
卷 25, 期 3, 页码 454-461

出版社

LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000075

关键词

-

资金

  1. National Institute on Aging [R01AG040212]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Background: Many studies have documented an obesity paradox-a survival advantage of being obese-in populations diagnosed with a medical condition. Whether obesity is causally associated with improved mortality in these conditions is unresolved. Methods: We develop the logic of collider bias as it pertains to the association between smoking and obesity in a diseased population. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) are used to investigate this bias empirically among persons with diabetes and prediabetes (dysglycemia). We also use NHANES to investigate whether reverse causal pathways are more prominent among people with dysglycemia than in the source population. Cox regression analysis is used to examine the extent of the obesity paradox among those with dysglycemia. In the regression analysis, we explore interactions between obesity and smoking, and we implement a variety of data restrictions designed to reduce the extent of reverse causality. Results: We find an obesity paradox among persons with dysglycemia. In this population, the inverse association between obesity and smoking is much stronger than in the source population, and the extent of illness and weight loss is greater. The obesity paradox is absent among never-smokers. Among smokers, the paradox is eliminated through successive efforts to reduce the extent of reverse causality. is not causal but is rather a product of the closer inverse association between obesity and smoking in this subpopulation.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.6
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

Article Rheumatology

Obesity Progression Between Young Adulthood and Midlife and Incident Arthritis: A Retrospective Cohort Study of US Adults

Kaitlyn M. Berry, Tuhina Neogi, Joshua F. Baker, Jason M. Collins, Jason R. Waggoner, Chia-Wen Hsiao, Stephen S. Johnston, Michael P. LaValley, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: Weight loss from young adulthood to midlife is associated with a substantially reduced risk of developing arthritis, emphasizing the importance of expanding obesity treatment and prevention to reduce the burden of arthritis.

ARTHRITIS CARE & RESEARCH (2021)

Article Substance Abuse

Association of device type, flavours and vaping behaviour with tobacco product transitions among adult electronic cigarette users in the USA

Alyssa F. Harlow, Jessica L. Fetterman, Craig S. Ross, Rose Marie Robertson, Aruni Bhatnagar, Emelia J. Benjamin, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: The study found that using non-tobacco flavors, daily vaping, and modifiable e-cigarette devices may help some smokers transition to exclusive e-cigarette use, but could also lead to ongoing use of e-cigarettes.

TOBACCO CONTROL (2022)

Letter Cardiac & Cardiovascular Systems

E-Cigarette Use and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Longitudinal Analysis of the PATH Study (2013-2019)

Jonathan B. Berlowitz, Wubin Xie, Alyssa F. Harlow, Naomi M. Hamburg, Michael J. Blaha, Aruni Bhatnagar, Emelia J. Benjamin, Andrew C. Stokes

CIRCULATION (2022)

Article Gerontology

Association of Weight at Different Ages and All-Cause Mortality Among Older Adults in the US

Kaitlyn M. Berry, Sarah Garcia, John Robert Warren, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: This study aims to assess the association between BMI and BMI change with mortality. The results showed that BMI at midlife had a stronger association with late life mortality compared to BMI at older ages. The association between BMI change and mortality varied depending on the timing of weight change. Furthermore, late life health factors, such as self-rated health, diabetes, and physical functioning, mediated the observed associations. Therefore, knowing a person's weight at midlife and how it has changed may be more important in assessing their risk of mortality in later life.

JOURNAL OF AGING AND HEALTH (2022)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

County-level estimates of excess mortality associated with COVID-19 in the United States

Calvin A. Ackley, Dielle J. Lundberg, Lei Ma, Irma T. Elo, Samuel H. Preston, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: This study analyzed the excess deaths and mortality associated with COVID-19 in the U.S. using a generalized linear model. The results showed that a significant proportion of excess deaths were not directly assigned to COVID-19. The study also found regional variations in the proportion of excess deaths assigned to COVID-19, with some regions reporting higher excess mortality in nonmetro areas. It highlights the importance of estimating excess mortality to allocate resources and promote positive behaviors during the pandemic.

SSM-POPULATION HEALTH (2022)

Article Substance Abuse

Prospective association between e-cigarette use frequency patterns and cigarette smoking abstinence among adult cigarette smokers in the United States

Alyssa F. Harlow, Andrew C. Stokes, Daniel R. Brooks, Emelia J. Benjamin, Adam M. Leventhal, Rob S. McConnell, Jessica L. Barrington-Trimis, Craig S. Ross

Summary: Longitudinal patterns of e-cigarette use appear to predict smoking abstinence in a US cohort of adult smokers. Consistent daily vaping is associated with increased chances of quitting smoking, while consistent non-daily vaping is associated with decreased chances of quitting smoking.

ADDICTION (2022)

Letter Critical Care Medicine

Reply to Campagna and Caci: Taking for Granted Conclusions from Studies that Cannot Prove Causality of Respiratory Symptoms and Vaping

Wubin Xie, Andrew C. Stokes

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE (2022)

Article Cell Biology

Longitudinal evidence on treatment discontinuation, adherence, and loss of hypertension control in four middle-income countries

Nicole Mauer, Pascal Geldsetzer, Jennifer Manne-Goehler, Justine Davies, Andrew C. Stokes, Margaret McConnell, Mohammed K. Ali, Volker Winkler, Nikkil Sudharsanan

Summary: This study examines the process of hypertension care in middle-income countries by analyzing population-based cohort data from China, Indonesia, Mexico, and South Africa. The findings reveal that there are challenges in hypertension control in these countries, with a relatively low percentage of individuals being diagnosed, treated, and achieving blood pressure control.

SCIENCE TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Dynamics of racial disparities in all-cause mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic

Helene E. Aschmanna, Alicia R. Riley, Ruijia Chen, Yea-Hung Chen, Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo, Andrew C. Stokes, M. Maria Glymour, Mathew V. Kiang

Summary: As research shows, the COVID-19 pandemic has had different impacts on different races and ethnicities, leading to disparities in mortality rates. Prior to the pandemic, mortality disparities among different races and ethnicities were relatively stable. However, with the onset of the pandemic, mortality disadvantages increased for American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander (NHOPI), and Black individuals, while mortality advantages decreased for Asian and Hispanic groups. During COVID-19 surges, mortality rate ratios generally increased, but in the summer of 2021 and winter of 2021/2022, disparities approached pre-pandemic levels for Asian and Black individuals. Importantly, two populations below age 65 fared worse than White individuals during these surges. Our findings highlight the dynamic nature of racial/ethnic disparities in mortality, particularly the exacerbation of mortality inequities for Indigenous groups due to the pandemic.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2022)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Cigarette-E-cigarette Transitions and Respiratory Symptom Development

Jonathan B. Berlowitz, Wubin Xie, Alyssa F. Harlow, Michael J. Blaha, Aruni Bhatnagar, Emelia J. Benjamin, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: E-cigarette use is associated with pulmonary inflammation, functional respiratory changes, and chronic lung disease. Most population-level E-cigarette research has utilized point-in-time measures of E-cigarette exposures, which may not generalize to adults who transition between cigarettes and E-cigarettes. Transitions from nonuse to exclusive E-cigarette use are associated with increased incidence rate of wheeze, while transitions from cigarettes to E-cigarettes or from dual use to E-cigarette use are associated with reduced incidence rates of wheeze and dry nighttime cough. Further research is needed to assess the risks and benefits of E-cigarette-assisted cigarette cessation.

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE (2023)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Sociodemographic Differences in E-Cigarette Uptake and Perceptions of Harm

Alyssa F. Harlow, Wubin Xie, Aboli R. Goghari, Dielle J. Lundberg, Rafeya Raquib, Jonathan B. Berlowitz, Andrew C. Stokes

Summary: This study aimed to evaluate socioeconomic and racial/ethnic differences in e-cigarette uptake and harm perceptions about e-cigarettes among adults who smoke cigarettes in the U.S. The findings suggest that Hispanic and Black adults were less likely to transition from cigarette smoking to exclusive e-cigarette use, while adults with higher education and income were more likely to make this transition. Additionally, adults with lower income and education were more likely to perceive e-cigarettes as equally or more harmful than cigarettes, which in turn decreased their likelihood of transitioning from cigarette smoking to e-cigarette use.

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE (2023)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Associations between mortality from COVID-19 and other causes: A state-level analysis

Anneliese N. N. Luck, Andrew C. C. Stokes, Katherine Hempstead, Eugenio Paglino, Samuel H. H. Preston

Summary: This study aimed to identify the relationship between COVID-19 mortality and changes in mortality from specific causes of death by exploiting spatial variation across US states. The study found that causes of death other than COVID-19 accounted for 19.6% of the total mortality burden during the first year of the pandemic. Circulatory disease was the most significant contributor, followed by dementia and other respiratory diseases. In contrast, there was a negative association between COVID-19 death rates and changes in cancer death rates.

PLOS ONE (2023)

Review Health Care Sciences & Services

Comprehensive review of the national surveys that assess E-cigarette use domains among youth and adults in the United States

Ellen Boakye, John Erhabor, Olufunmilayo Obisesan, Erfan Tasdighi, Mohammadhassan Mirbolouk, Ngozi Osuji, Albert D. Osei, Jieun Lee, Andrew P. Defilippis, Andrew C. Stokes, Glenn A. Hirsch, Emelia J. Benjamin, Rose Marie Robertson, Aruni Bhatnagar, Omar El Shahawy, Michael J. Blaha

Summary: Surveillance of e-cigarette use is crucial for evaluating tobacco regulatory policies. This review identified 13 national epidemiologic surveys that assess e-cigarette use among U.S. youth and adults, which have been instrumental in e-cigarette surveillance. These surveys vary in scope and detail, providing unique strengths and the ability to answer specific regulatory questions.

LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH-AMERICAS (2023)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Missing Americans: Early death in the United States-1933-2021

Jacob Bor, Andrew C. Stokes, Julia Raifman, Atheendar Venkataramani, Mary T. Bassett, David Himmelstein, Steffie Woolhandler

Summary: This study assesses the number of US deaths that could have been averted annually from 1933 to 2021 if the US age-specific mortality rates were equal to the average of 21 other wealthy nations. These excess deaths are referred to as missing Americans. The US had lower mortality rates in the earlier decades and similar rates in the 1960s and 1970s compared to peer countries. However, there has been a steady increase in missing Americans since the 1980s, with a significant surge during the COVID-19 pandemic.

PNAS NEXUS (2023)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Excess natural-cause deaths in California by cause and setting: March 2020 through February 2021

Yea-Hung Chen, Andrew C. Stokes, Helene E. Aschmann, Ruijia Chen, Shelley DeVost, Mathew V. Kiang, Suneil Koliwad, Alicia R. Riley, M. Maria Glymour, Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo

Summary: Excess mortality during the pandemic has surpassed the reported deaths from Covid-19, indicating potential undercounting of Covid-19 deaths. The study found that a significant number of excess natural-cause deaths occurred outside the hospital and were not attributed to Covid-19. The temporal association between Covid-19 deaths and excess out-of-hospital deaths suggests that Covid-19 deaths may have been underestimated in the first year of the pandemic.

PNAS NEXUS (2022)

暂无数据