Article
Economics
Raine Mantysalo, Kaisa Granqvist, Oya Duman, Milos N. Mladenovic
Summary: The article proposes a theoretical framework for the application of four scenario-planning approaches in strategic land-use and transportation planning in city-regions. It highlights the key role of explorative scenario planning in strategic city-regional land-use and transportation planning.
Article
Economics
Elliott Johnson, Sam Betts-Davies, John Barrett
Summary: Final energy demand in the UK has remained relatively stable since the 1970s, but achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 requires significant reductions in energy demand. However, the UK Government lacks a clear strategy to decrease demand. This comparative analysis of climate scenarios shows that pathways with higher energy demand reduction levels can mitigate technological challenges and require less investment, but involve higher levels of social change.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Hampus Berg Martensson, Mattias Hojer, Jonas Akerman
Summary: Passenger cars make a significant contribution to greenhouse gas emissions. This article presents various scenarios for reducing emissions from the Swedish passenger car fleet by 70% compared to 2010. The scenarios involve changes in shared and electric cars, biofuel use, transport volumes, battery capacity, and fleet development. The study emphasizes the need to reduce kilometers driven, address policy challenges, consider resource scarcity and production capacity, and account for indirect emissions in policymaking.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTATION
(2023)
Article
Environmental Studies
Sgouris Sgouridis, Christian Kimmich, Jordi Sole, Martin Cerny, Melf-Hinrich Ehlers, Christian Kerschner
Summary: This article discusses the importance and issues of Energy-Economy-Environment (E3) models in energy policy and climate mitigation planning. It argues that during energy transitions, it is better to develop a vision of the desired future energy system rather than relying on simple objective-based technoeconomic solutions. The article highlights biases in E3 models and warns against uncritical usage that may hinder radical transitions. It suggests prioritizing a clear articulation of the future vision and utilizing models as tools for evaluating interventions.
ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Rachel Freeman, Steve Pye
Summary: This article discusses the use of socio-technical energy transition (STET) models in integrated assessment models (IAMs). The TEMPEST model, which incorporates societal and political factors, is used to simulate different global socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) for the UK's energy transition. Findings show that SSP2 is the most feasible scenario, with the closest resemblance to historical precedent. The article highlights the importance of considering political and societal support, negative pushback, and user demand in IAMs.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Food Science & Technology
Maia Elliott, Riaz Bhunnoo
Summary: Scenario exercises can help decision-making in uncertain situations. Four scenarios for the future food system in the UK are examined here, focusing on dietary shifts, food waste, biodiversity, and food prices.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Eefje Cuppen, Igor Nikolic, Jan Kwakkel, Jaco Quist
Summary: Finding leverage points for sustainability transformation of industrial and infrastructure systems is challenging due to complex interactions among socio-technical system elements over time in a specific context. Participatory multi-modelling, where modellers and stakeholders collaborate to develop multiple models, can support sustainability transformations by facilitating social learning and dialogue between stakeholders. This process can create a boundary object ecology with multiple interacting objects that evolve throughout the modelling process.
SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Billy J. Stanbery, Michael Woodhouse, Jao van de Lagemaat
Summary: To achieve the decarbonization of global electrical systems using photovoltaics (PVs) in the 2050-2060 decade, 63.4 TW of PV would need to be installed. This article explores a model for ramping up PV manufacturing toward this goal, assuming financially rational decisions by investors. The study demonstrates that sustainable manufacturing ramp-up is possible and that the introduction of disruptive technologies can accelerate and reduce the cost of deploying the necessary manufacturing capacity.
Article
Thermodynamics
Lorenzo Mario Pastore, Gianluigi Lo Basso, Livio de Santoli
Summary: This study considers the impact of renewable energy on building energy systems and proposes building energy performance indicators. Heat pumps are found to be the best option when renewable penetration in the power grid is high. National decarbonization scenarios significantly affect building refurbishment strategies.
Article
Economics
L. Battisti
Summary: This study evaluates future greenhouse gas emissions from 2020 to 2050, taking into account various scenarios for growth in electric energy in the world's current energy system. The results show that relying solely on renewables as a strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will only partially succeed and achieving zero emissions targets is not feasible. The study also highlights the challenge of ensuring that renewable penetration programs can be matched with the technical feasibility of conversion technologies.
Article
Thermodynamics
Peter Sorknaes, Rasmus M. Johannsen, Andrei D. Korberg, Tore B. Nielsen, Uni R. Petersen, Brian Mathiesen
Summary: Future renewable energy systems with high shares of variable renewable energy production require technologies and measures to balance production fluctuations, such as electricity storage, energy demand adaptation, and sector coupling. This study evaluates the role of industry electrification in different renewable energy system scenarios and finds that prioritizing direct electrification of industrial process heat demand is preferable.
Article
Energy & Fuels
Ewelina Kochanek
Summary: This study presents two possible scenarios for the development of the Polish energy sector, analyzing key factors such as renewable energy and CO2 emissions reduction. The research shows that the ambivalent attitude of the Polish political elite towards zero-emission energy sources will impact the development of some renewable energy forms.
Article
Business
Jim Skea, Renee van Diemen, Joana Portugal-Pereira, Alaa Al Khourdajie
Summary: This paper compares recent global energy scenarios developed by governments, international bodies, businesses and the scientific community, finding sharp divergences between outlooks and normative scenarios compatible with the Paris Agreement on climate change. All published outlooks imply that the world is not on an energy pathway compatible with the Paris Agreement. Furthermore, the assessment of emerging themes suggests that more dialogue between scenario developers from the scientific community and those working in governments and commercial organisations could be beneficial.
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Thermodynamics
Marko Mimica, Goran Krajacic
Summary: Islands provide a clear overview of resources and needs in multiple sectors, and energy planning should consider utilizing various resources to meet local needs, yet many studies only focus on limited sectors.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Hugo Putuhena, David White, Susan Gourvenec, Fraser Sturt
Summary: This article introduces a spatial analysis approach for assessing the location of future offshore wind, taking into account metocean, geoscience, ecological, and anthropogenic features as well as engineering requirements. It calibrates suitability rankings of new sea regions based on the current ocean 'crowdedness' and presents a case study based on the UK's Economic Exclusive Zone. The analysis highlights the need for floating offshore wind technology to overcome water depth barriers and explores the potential impact of increased utilization of ocean space for offshore wind.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Paolo Agnolucci, Vincenzo De Lipsis
Article
Environmental Sciences
Alexandros Sfyridis, Paolo Agnolucci
Summary: This study introduces a methodology to estimate air pollutants and CO2 emissions for each street segment in the Greater London area, revealing pollution hot spots and the effects of open spaces. The disaggregated approach can facilitate policy making at both local and national levels.
Review
Environmental Studies
Brendan Moore, Caroline Verfuerth, Angela Mae Minas, Christianne Tipping, Sarah Mander, Irene Lorenzoni, Claire Hoolohan, Andrew J. Jordan, Lorraine Whitmarsh
Summary: The article reviews social science literature on climate change mitigation focusing on transformation-related terms, revealing a diverse and fragmented research field primarily concentrating on national, city, international, energy sector, and high-income country levels. Despite the rapid increase in the use of transformation terminology, there is a lack of shared definitions, posing a serious challenge to scholarship and evidence-based policy making. The proposal of transformational climate change mitigation as a new umbrella term aims to facilitate a more cumulative and impactful approach to research.
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Editorial Material
Environmental Studies
Simon Bullock, James Mason, Alice Larkin
Summary: International shipping heavily relies on fossil fuels and emits a considerable amount of carbon dioxide annually, making emission reduction actions crucial for global climate change efforts. The article re-evaluates the sector's emission reduction targets, highlighting the need for significantly stronger short- and longer-term goals to align with the Paris Agreement.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Clair Gough, Sarah Mander
Summary: This paper explores the opportunities for and progress in establishing a social licence to operate (SLO) for CCS in industrial clusters in the UK, focusing on the perspectives of key stakeholders. It evaluates the evolution of narratives and networks related to geographical clusters as niches for CCS in industrial decarbonisation, in relation to seven pillars supporting SLO. The evidence is drawn from a combination of cluster mapping, documentary analysis, and stakeholder interviews.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GREENHOUSE GAS CONTROL
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Alexandros Sfyridis, Paolo Agnolucci
Summary: This paper investigates the relationship between road traffic volumes and various characteristics in England and Wales. The results show that socioeconomic and roadway characteristics are the main factors associated with traffic volume, while the association of other variables varies depending on road class and vehicle type.
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Jaise Kuriakose, Kevin Anderson, Deborah Darko, Emmanuel Obuobie, Alice Larkin, Salifu Addo
Summary: Research shows that shallow reservoirs in the tropics emit significant greenhouse gas emissions. In Ghana, although existing and planned hydro resources may only account for less than 1% of their future energy demand, their cumulative emissions can consume 40% of the country's carbon budget under the Paris Agreement. Therefore, instead of constructing more dams, it would be more aligned with the Paris goals for Ghana to focus on energy efficiency and diversifying renewable energy options.
ENERGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Studies
Simon Bullock, Eliott Higgins, James Crossan, Alice Larkin
Summary: Shore power is a proven technology that can reduce carbon emissions from the shipping sector while improving air quality. However, its global deployment has been slow due to economic barriers, including high capital costs, high taxes on land-side electricity, and the lack of taxation on ships' fuel oils. This article presents a case study of the Port of Aberdeen in Scotland to explore how the economic case for shore power can be improved. By engaging port users, suppliers, and the national government, a collaborative approach can accelerate the deployment of shore power and align the sector's carbon pathway with the goals of the Paris Agreement.
Article
Engineering, Marine
James Mason, Alice Larkin, Alejandro Gallego-Schmid
Summary: Reducing the shipping sector's contribution to climate change requires urgent emission reductions this decade. Combining sails with efficient routing can amplify the performance of each technology, but the impact of stochastic uncertainty from wind forecasts is unknown. This study presents a novel approach to characterize this uncertainty and shows that an adaptive weather routing strategy can reduce uncertainty and reliably amplify carbon savings from wind propulsion technology.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Simon Bullock, Claire Hoolohan, Alice Larkin
Summary: Shore power connects ships to land-side electricity grids, reducing fuel use in port and cutting carbon dioxide emissions and air pollution. However, the global deployment of shore power, especially in countries like the UK, is slow. This study uses two theoretical frameworks to identify barriers to UK shore power deployment, including the need for capital funding and taxation policies. It also highlights the low status of shipping in the political hierarchy as a hindrance to implementation. Strengthening interactions between shipping actors is crucial for increasing political pressure and implementing policies supporting shore power and shipping as a whole. These changes are essential for meeting the emission reduction targets of the Paris Agreement in UK shipping.
Article
Engineering, Marine
James Mason, Alice Larkin, Simon Bullock, Nico van der Kolk, John F. Broderick
Summary: Combining voyage optimisation with wind propulsion can significantly reduce carbon emissions in the global shipping sector. Voyage optimisation amplifies carbon savings to over 30% on ideal routes, and reducing shipping speeds further increases the savings. The combination of all technologies can reduce carbon emissions by up to 60%, demonstrating the potential of existing technologies in reducing shipping's carbon footprint.
Article
Environmental Studies
Claire Hoolohan, Carly McLachlan, Christopher Jones, Alice Larkin, Christina Birch, Sarah Mander, John Broderick
Summary: Scope 3 emissions from the UK higher education sector are globally significant, with long-distance air travel and catering being particularly emissions-intensive aspects. Universities recognize their role in creating demand for such emissions, but lack specific emission reduction targets and action plans. Achieving greater cohesion in reporting and target-setting across the sector is crucial to raise ambition and identify opportunities for institutions to disrupt professional practices for emissions reduction.
Article
Environmental Studies
M. Sharmina, O. Y. Edelenbosch, C. Wilson, R. Freeman, D. E. H. J. Gernaat, P. Gilbert, A. Larkin, E. W. Littleton, M. Traut, D. P. van Vuuren, N. E. Vaughan, F. R. Wood, C. Le Quere
Summary: This study highlights the necessity of significant emission reductions in critical sectors such as aviation, shipping, road freight transport, and industry to limit global warming to 1.5-2 degrees C, as technological supply-side options alone may not be sufficient to achieve rapid decarbonisation. Policy priorities include promoting affordable alternatives to air travel, enhancing connectivity between low-carbon travel modes, reducing transportation speed and demand for fossil fuels, as well as encouraging distributed manufacturing and a shift towards a circular economy. The COVID-19 pandemic provides a unique opportunity to implement lasting CO2 emissions reductions by reducing reliance on carbon removal technologies through significant demand reductions for critical sectors' activities.
Article
Food Science & Technology
Paolo Agnolucci, Chrysanthi Rapti, Peter Alexander, Vincenzo De Lipsis, Robert A. Holland, Felix Eigenbrod, Paul Ekins
Article
Economics
Alexandros Sfyridis, Paolo Agnolucci
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHY
(2020)
Article
Economics
Marie-Louise Arlt, David Chassin, Claudio Rivetta, James Sweeney
Summary: This paper examines the impact of real-time pricing and load automation on residential distribution systems. The study finds that implementing real-time pricing can result in an aggregate welfare gain of 39 USD per customer and year. However, it also notes that RTP and load automation may significantly increase peak system load. Introducing a market-based demand management system can further enhance welfare gains and reduce grid investment.
Article
Economics
Javier Jorquera-Copier, Alvaro Lorca, Enzo Sauma, Stefan Lorenczik, Matias Negrete-Pincetic
Summary: As countries update their climate ambitions, low-carbon hydrogen production and use present opportunities for emissions reductions and economic development. A case study for Chile shows that integrating hydrogen and electricity networks can lower system costs and enhance renewable integration, but policy support is needed to address concerns related to water and land use.
Article
Economics
Dawit Guta, Hisham Zerriffi, Jill Baumgartner, Abhishek Jain, Sunil Mani, Darby Jack, Ellison Carter, Guofeng Shen, Jennifer Orgill-Meyer, Joshua Rosenthal, Katherine Dickinson, Rob Bailis, Yuta Masuda
Summary: Household solid fuel use is detrimental to health and the environment. The Indian government's PMUY subsidy has successfully promoted the adoption of LPG by millions of households. However, there is limited understanding of the decision-making process to reduce solid fuel use after transitioning to cleaner fuels. This study found that factors such as household wealth, social status, education level, and the prevalence of LPG use in the village are positively associated with LPG consumption and the discontinuation of solid fuel use. On the other hand, factors such as distance to LPG refill delivery, household size, and the PMUY subsidy are negatively associated with the share of LPG use.
Article
Economics
Nicolas Morell-Dameto, Jose Pablo Chaves-Avila, Tomas Gomez San Roman, Pablo Duenas-Martinez, Tim Schittekatte
Summary: This paper assesses the performance of differently implemented forward-looking network tariff designs and proposes an innovative coordination mechanism to increase predictability in a future with many flexible customers. The study reveals that if large shares of customers synchronize their responses to highly time-varying and locational-specific network charges, it can lead to unexpected reinforcements.
Article
Economics
Alexandra Gritz, Guntram Wolff
Summary: Russia's weaponization of gas supplies shook the energy security of Central and Eastern Europe in 2022. The region responded by increasing alternative energy supplies and developing new gas supply routes. Renewable energy, nuclear energy, and hydrogen play important roles in the long-term. Mitigating the impact of this shock requires the EU to prioritize the integrity of its energy market.
Article
Economics
Jaroslaw Kantorowicz, Marion Collewet, Matthew DiGiuseppe, Hendrik Vrijburg
Summary: Economic costs are a major political obstacle to investing in climate change mitigation and adaptation measures. The method of financing plays a crucial role in determining public opposition to government green investments, with debt financing being less opposed than broad-based taxes. This study suggests that credit market tools, such as green bonds and debt for climate swaps, can be politically efficient in increasing support for green financing. Carbon taxes and wealth taxes are found to be the most preferred options.
Article
Economics
Kun Guo, Liyuan Luan, Xiaoli Cai, Dayong Zhang, Qiang Ji
Summary: This paper investigates China's energy trade stability using a survival analysis approach. It finds that the energy trade linkages between China and 153 other countries are complex and unstable, with short periods of trade with many countries. Geopolitically risky regions, such as the Middle East and Africa, have the lowest trade stability. Climate risks have significant effects on energy trade stability. The paper proposes several policy options to improve energy trade stability in China, with special attention to increasing global climate risks.
Article
Economics
Simona Bigerna, Piyush Choudhary, Nikunj Kumar Jain, Silvia Micheli, Paolo Polinori
Summary: This study estimates the willingness to pay of Indian urban consumers for a continuous supply of electricity using contingent valuation method. The findings show that the amount consumers are willing to pay depends on the duration of power outages, with households preferring shorter outages. Income and environmental attitude also positively influence higher willingness to pay. These insights can inform policymakers in designing more reliable and customer-centric energy generation and distribution models.
Article
Economics
Temilade Sesan, Unico Uduka, Lucy Baker, Okechukwu Ugwu, Ewah Eleri, Subhes Bhattacharyya
Summary: This study examines the impact of the regulatory framework on rural electrification and universal energy access goals in Nigeria's mini-grid sector. The findings suggest that while the current framework has fostered sector growth, additional measures are necessary to ensure equitable distribution of access among rural populations.
Article
Economics
Rui Shan, Noah Kittner
Summary: Energy storage is a cornerstone in decarbonization planning as it reduces operational costs and greenhouse gas emissions, while enhancing resilience and renewables integration. However, storage developers in different regions have varying economic and environmental considerations, thereby requiring policy intervention to achieve long-term emission reductions.
Article
Economics
Tung Durmaz, Sevil Acar, Simay Kizilkaya
Summary: This study investigates the phenomenon of strategic capacity withholding in the Turkish electricity market and its relationship with the capacity remuneration mechanism. The empirical results provide strong evidence of strategic capacity withholding and show that the capacity mechanism contributes to the duration of failures. The study offers important insights for policymakers, including the implementation of a random verification mechanism and restructuring of the capacity mechanism in Turkey.
Article
Economics
Tii N. Nchofoung
Summary: The study finds that oil price shocks have a negative impact on Africa's energy transition, particularly in rural areas and net crude oil exporting countries. However, oil price shocks cannot explain the urban-rural differences in clean energy access. Therefore, increasing investment in clean energy and technologies in rural areas is necessary to enhance the resilience of the energy sector to oil price shocks.
Article
Economics
Najia Saqib, Muhammad Usman, Ilhan Ozturk, Arshian Sharif
Summary: This study examines the impact of environmental technologies, financial growth, and energy use on ecological footprint and green growth. Environmental innovation and renewable energy deployment contribute to green growth, while financial expansion and non-renewable energy use have negative effects on the environment. The study also identifies causal relationships between different factors.
Article
Economics
Yessica C. Y. Chung, Noxolo Kunene, Hung-Hao Chang
Summary: The Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) is considered an innovative technology for building a green society. This study investigates the impact of REC purchases on stock return and volume in Taiwan between 2017 and 2021. The findings suggest that REC purchases have a positive effect on stock returns of manufacturing firms but not service firms. The frequency of REC purchases is also an important factor in the relationship between REC purchase and firm value. Additionally, the study reveals that public attention to environmental pollution plays a crucial role in positive stock returns and volume, while ESG disclosure is negatively associated with returns and volume.
Article
Economics
Seife Ayele, Wei Shen, Yacob Mulugetta, Tadesse Kuma Worako
Summary: This paper addresses the challenges of governing energy procurement from a mix of non-hydropower renewable energy sources supplied by independent producers. Building on political economy analysis and five case studies of independent producer projects from Ethiopia, it seeks to understand the root causes of the protracted delays and limited extent of procurement by independent producers. The key contestations lie in managing long term contracts, risk, uncertainty and in developing the institutional and human capacity to transition.
