Identification of patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer for adjuvant therapy

PURPOSE: Adjuvant therapy for Stage II colon cancer remains controversial but may be considered for patients with high-risk features. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of commonly reported clinicopathologic features of Stage II colon cancer to identify high-risk patients. METHODS: We analyzed a prospectively maintained database of patients with colon cancer who underwent surgical treatment from 1990 to 2001 at a single specialty center. We identified 448 patients with Stage II colon cancer who had been treated by curative resection alone, without postoperative chemotherapy. RESULTS: With median follow-up of 53 months, 5-year disease-specific survival for this cohort was 91 percent. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified three independent features that significantly affected disease-specific survival: tumor Stage T4 (hazard ratio (HR), 2.7; 95 percent confidence interval (CI), 1.1-6.2; P=0.02), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen > 5 ng/ml (HR, 2.1; 95 percent CI, 1.1-4.1; P=0.02), and presence of lymphovascular or perineural invasion (HR, 2.1; 95 percent CI, 1-4.4; P=0.04). Five-year disease-specific survival for patients without any of the above poor prognostic features was 95 percent; five-year disease-specific survival for patients with one of these poor prognostic features was 85 percent; and five-year disease-specific survival for patients with >= 2 poor prognostic features was 57 percent. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Stage II colon cancer generally have an excellent prognosis. However, the presence of multiple adverse prognostic factors identifies a high-risk subgroup. Use of commonly reported clinicopathologic features accurately stratifies Stage II colon cancer by disease-specific survival. Those identified as high-risk patients can be considered for adjuvant chemotherapy and/or enrollment in investigational trials.