History matching for exploring and reducing climate model parameter space using observations and a large perturbed physics ensemble

Fast linked analyses for scenario-based hierarchies

(2013) Daniel Williamson et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS

Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble

(2012) Daniel J. Rowlands et al.   Nature Geoscience

The sensitivity of the meridional overturning circulation to modelling uncertainty in a perturbed physics ensemble without flux adjustment

(2011) Laura C. Jackson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Changes in global-mean precipitation in response to warming, greenhouse gas forcing and black carbon

(2011) K. Frieler et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Global Character of the Flux of Downward Longwave Radiation

(2011) Graeme L. Stephens et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Multisatellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability

(2011) Chunlei Liu et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model

(2010) Neil R. Edwards et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Continuous, Array-Based Estimates of Atlantic Ocean Heat Transport at 26.5°N

(2010) W. E. Johns et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate feedbacks determined using radiative kernels in a multi-thousand member ensemble of AOGCMs

(2009) Benjamin M. Sanderson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Improving the global precipitation record: GPCP Version 2.1

(2009) George J. Huffman et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments

(2009) Jonathan Rougier et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Earth's Global Energy Budget

(2008) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The impact of perturbations to ocean-model parameters on climate and climate change in a coupled model

(2008) Chris M. Brierley et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Bayesian Design and Analysis for Superensemble-Based Climate Forecasting

(2008) L. Mark Berliner et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems

(2008) Michael Goldstein et al.   JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE