4.7 Article

On novel grey forecasting model based on non-homogeneous index sequence

期刊

APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING
卷 37, 期 7, 页码 5059-5068

出版社

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.apm.2012.10.037

关键词

Grey system; Grey forecasting model; Discrete; Pure index sequence; Accumulating generation

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [70901041, 71171113]
  2. Joint research project of National Natural Science Foundation of China
  3. Royal Society of UK [71111130211]
  4. Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China [20093218120032, 200802870020, 20093218120033]
  5. Humanistic and Social Science Youth Foundation of Ministry of Education of China [11YJC630032]
  6. Qinglan Project for excellent youth teacher in Jiangsu Province (China)
  7. NUAA Research Funding [NR2011002, NJ2011009]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

To solve the problem that traditional grey models were constructed on the hypothesis that the original data sequence is in accord with homogeneous index trend rather than non-homogeneous index trend. A novel grey forecasting model based on non-homogeneous index sequence approximately (abbreviated as NDGM) is proposed. It is proved that the models based on homogeneous index sequence are all special cases that of non-homogeneous index sequence. The recursive function of the NDGM model is proposed and the forecasting precision of the model based on pure non-homogeneous index sequence is discussed and the affine properties of the model are further studied. Finally, one numerical case is used to show the effective results of the proposed model. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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