Most atolls will be uninhabitable by the mid-21st century because of sea-level rise exacerbating wave-driven flooding

Seawater-flooding events and impact on freshwater lenses of low-lying islands: Controlling factors, basic management and mitigation

(2017) Stephen B. Gingerich et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Atoll Groundwater Movement and Its Response to Climatic and Sea-Level Fluctuations

(2017) Ferdinand Oberle et al.   Water

Doubling of coastal flooding frequency within decades due to sea-level rise

(2017) Sean Vitousek et al.   Scientific Reports

Changes to extreme wave climates of islands within the Western Tropical Pacific throughout the 21st century under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, with implications for island vulnerability and sustainability

(2016) James B. Shope et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Future freshwater stress for island populations

(2016) Kristopher B. Karnauskas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Observations of wave transformation over a fringing coral reef and the importance of low-frequency waves and offshore water levels to runup, overwash, and coastal flooding

(2016) Olivia M. Cheriton et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS

Coral islands defy sea-level rise over the past century: Records from a central Pacific atoll

(2015) P.S. Kench et al.   GEOLOGY

The influence of coral reefs and climate change on wave-driven flooding of tropical coastlines

(2015) Ellen Quataert et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Will the Effects of Sea-Level Rise Create Ecological Traps for Pacific Island Seabirds?

(2015) Michelle H. Reynolds et al.   PLoS One

Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes

(2014) A. B. A. Slangen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites

(2014) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

Widespread inundation of Pacific islands triggered by distant-source wind-waves

(2013) Ron K. Hoeke et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Numerical modeling of low-frequency wave dynamics over a fringing coral reef

(2012) Ap Van Dongeren et al.   COASTAL ENGINEERING

RCP4.5: a pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing by 2100

(2011) Allison M. Thomson et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions

(2011) Keywan Riahi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Predicting coral bleaching hotspots: the role of regional variability in thermal stress and potential adaptation rates

(2011) Lida Teneva et al.   CORAL REEFS

Numerical modeling of the impact of sea-level rise on fringing coral reef hydrodynamics and sediment transport

(2011) C. D. Storlazzi et al.   CORAL REEFS

Projecting Coral Reef Futures Under Global Warming and Ocean Acidification

(2011) J. M. Pandolfi et al.   SCIENCE

Tropical cyclones and climate change

(2010) Thomas R. Knutson et al.   Nature Geoscience

Estimating the Ground Water Resources of Atoll Islands

(2010) Ryan Bailey et al.   Water

Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850

(2009) S. Jevrejeva et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Responses of atoll freshwater lenses to storm-surge overwash in the Northern Cook Islands

(2009) James P. Terry et al.   HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL

Global sea level linked to global temperature

(2009) M. Vermeer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Confidence Intervals and Significance Tests for Spherical Data Derived from Feature Tracking

(2008) K. I. Hodges   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Reef-island topography and the vulnerability of atolls to sea-level rise

(2007) Colin D. Woodroffe   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE