Letter
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Harsh K. Gupta, Rajesh Rekapalli
Summary: Earthquakes with magnitude Mw >= 7 are often followed by damaging aftershocks. Aftershocks with magnitude Mw >= 5 tend to cause further damage to structures already weakened by the main shock. Based on Omori's Law modified by Utsu et al. and the aftershock data of the February 6, 2023 Turkey earthquake within a 500 km radius, it was estimated that Mw >= 5 aftershocks may continue for 250 days. As of now, Mw >= 5 aftershocks have been ongoing for 191 days, but no such aftershock has occurred since August 16, 2023.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
A. Inbal, A. Ziv, I. Lior, R. N. Nof, A. S. Eisermann
Summary: Most aftershocks occur in areas with large co-seismic stress changes, but some occur long after the mainshock in remote regions with small stress changes. The triggering mechanism of these remote delayed aftershocks is not well understood. This study investigates the triggering mechanism of delayed aftershocks in the Dead Sea region following the 2023 Mw7.8 and Mw7.6 Kahramanmaras earthquakes.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Kamran Karimi, Jorn Davidsen
Summary: Through the study of seismic catalogs, it was found that the dynamics of aftershocks differ when fluids are involved. Different scenarios all show significant aftershock behavior, highlighting the importance of event-event triggering processes. The size of aftershock zones increases with main shock magnitude, and the decay rate of aftershocks varies in different scenarios.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Kayla A. Kroll, Elizabeth S. Cochran
Summary: Researchers conducted a series of seismic simulations to study pressure-controlled and runaway ruptures in induced seismicity. They found that empirical scaling laws can accurately predict the maximum possible magnitude in cases where shear stresses are further from failure and for high amplitude stress fields. Higher initial shear stresses and smoother stress fields are more likely to result in runaway ruptures occurring early after the onset of injection.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Geological
Navid Hosseini, Jeffrey A. A. Priest, David W. W. Eaton
Summary: The extended finite element method (X-FEM) is used to simulate the behavior of a heterogeneous fault embedded within a poroelastic medium. The study investigates the influence of rate-state parameters on fault activation and hydraulic properties of a damage zone. Results show that aseismic slip near the injection zone triggers seismic events in seismogenic unstable regions of the fault, and that hydraulic diffusivity in the damage zone affects the timing of the initial seismic event and aftershock productivity.
ROCK MECHANICS AND ROCK ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Naidan Yun, Hongfeng Yang, Shiyong Zhou
Summary: DynTriPy is a robust Python package that automatically detects dynamic triggering signals, aiming to better understand earthquake interaction mechanisms and assess seismic hazards. It efficiently implements an algorithm suitable for processing big data and suppressing noise and background seismic activity changes. By processing data from multiple stations in parallel, it enables global monitoring of earthquake triggering.
SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Junichi Nakajima, Akira Hasegawa
Summary: Repeating earthquakes are interpreted as repeated ruptures of an isolated asperity patch surrounded by a stable sliding regime, and they have been observed in various tectonic settings. We investigated the occurrence of repeaters in the continental crust and subducting slabs beneath the Japanese Islands and found a prevalence of repeaters in both locations. The repeaters show similar seismicity rates and occur on well-defined fault planes coincidentally with non-repeating earthquakes, suggesting a common generation process independent of the tectonic regime.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tom Kettlety, James P. Verdon
Summary: The research found that the pore pressure increase caused by injection during hydraulic fracturing is generally considered to be the primary driver of induced seismicity, while in very tight reservoir rocks, unless a fracture network exists to act as a hydraulic conduit, the rate of diffusion may be too low to explain some microseismic sequences spatio-temporal evolution. Additionally, the study revealed that the fault triggering mechanisms during the PNR-1z and PNR-2 operations were different, with each operation activating faults with different orientations.
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Physics, Multidisciplinary
Alfredo Salinas-Martinez, Jennifer Perez-Oregon, Ana Maria Aguilar-Molina, Alejandro Munoz-Diosdado, Fernando Angulo-Brown
Summary: This study analyzes and reproduces Utsu's law for earthquakes using the OFC spring-block model. It applies Utsu's formulae to identify aftershock areas and compares synthetic and real earthquakes. The results suggest that Utsu's law is reproducible using the SOC model.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alexander Motorin, Sergey Baranov
Summary: This paper examines the distribution of magnitudes of the strongest aftershocks, depending on the time after the main shock, during mineral extraction in tectonically loaded rock massifs. The study is based on long-term seismological observations at the Khibiny Massif in the Kola Peninsula. The article demonstrates that the distribution of the difference between the magnitudes of the strongest aftershock and the main shock follows the dynamic Bath law, previously discovered by the authors in the study of aftershock processes in tectonic earthquakes.
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
C. Hanagan, R. A. Bennett, L. Chiaraluce, A. Hughes, M. Cocco
Summary: Static stress transfer is commonly believed to be the primary mechanism for triggering aftershocks, but evaluating this mechanism is subject to observational uncertainties. In this study, we analyze a large dataset of aftershocks following three major earthquakes and find that the resolved failure stress on optimally oriented planes overpredicts the percentage of triggered aftershocks compared to that predicted from observed aftershock rupture planes. Furthermore, observed rupture planes appear to align more closely with pre-existing tectonic structures.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Geological
J. Basbous, T. S. Nemer, A. Yehya, E. Maalouf
Summary: The study focuses on the potential for reservoir induced seismicity in the Bisri dam project in Lebanon, pointing out that the high permeability damage zone of the Bisri fault beneath the proposed reservoir allows pore pressure diffusion, destabilizing the fault and increasing the seismicity rate. The research indicates that the increase in seismicity rate persists for decades, posing a high risk for prolonged seismic activity.
ENGINEERING GEOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Binxin Fu, Rosa M. Espinosa-Marzal
Summary: Nanoscale friction measurements were conducted on calcite single crystals to study the influence of surface roughness, contact aging, and different environments. The results showed that friction behavior varied significantly between dry and aqueous environments, with water environment even eliminating velocity-weakening friction caused by atomic attrition. Friction rate parameters and memory distance also exhibited differences between dry and aqueous environments, with implications for understanding fault stability and friction laws.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
(2022)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Chenyu Li, Zhigang Peng, Julien A. Chaput, Jacob Walter, Richard C. Aster
Summary: Recent studies have shown that remote large earthquakes can trigger microseismic activity around Mount Erebus, with most events occurring during the passage of shorter-period Rayleigh waves. The triggered events are likely shallow icequakes triggered by dilatational stress perturbations from teleseismic surface waves, with higher peak dynamic stress changes in teleseismic earthquakes being more capable of triggering icequakes at the site.
SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
So Ozawa, Ryosuke Ando
Summary: The study suggests that aftershocks are likely to occur along the trace of the mainshock fault, but their exact location is uncertain due to positioning errors. It is hypothesized that most aftershocks actually occur on small subsidiary faults triggered by local stress increases resulting from the rough geometry of the mainshock fault. Numerical simulations show that the roughness of the main fault decreases the concentration of aftershocks around the tip of the mainshock fault.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2021)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias R. Heimisson
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2019)
Article
Materials Science, Multidisciplinary
Elias R. Heimisson, Eric M. Dunham, Martin Almquist
JOURNAL OF THE MECHANICS AND PHYSICS OF SOLIDS
(2019)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Benjamin E. Grossman-Ponemon, Elias R. Heimisson, Adrian J. Lew, Paul Segall
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2020)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias R. Heimisson, Paul Segall
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2020)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias Rafn Heimisson
EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS
(2020)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Virginie Pinel, Ronni Grapenthin, Andrew Hooper, Saemundur A. Halldorsson, Pall Einarsson, Benedikt G. Ofeigsson, Elias R. Heimisson, Kristin Jonsdottir, Magnus T. Gudmundsson, Kristin Vogfjord, Michelle Parks, Siqi Li, Vincent Drouin, Halldor Geirsson, Stephanie Dumont, Hildur M. Fridriksdottir, Gunnar B. Gudmundsson, Tim J. Wright, Tadashi Yamasaki
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2020)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Elias R. Heimisson, Jean-Philippe Avouac
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2020)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Kyungjae Im, Jean-Philippe Avouac, Elias R. Heimisson, Derek Elsworth
Summary: Thirty years of geothermal heat production at Coso in California depleted shear stresses within the geothermal reservoir, changing its faulting style and inhibiting aftershocks from the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake. This destressing phenomenon impacted the faulting style of the reservoir and impeded aftershock triggering, potentially impeding the propagation of a large earthquake.
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias Rafn Heimisson, John Rudnicki, Nadia Lapusta
Summary: This study presents a linear stability analysis of faults in a fluid-saturated, elastic, porous material, highlighting a new parameter regime where dilatancy stabilization can act in a highly diffusive solid. The mechanical expansion of the shear layer causing fault-normal displacements is analyzed, leading to a universal stabilization mechanism in both drained and undrained limits. The study suggests that this stabilization mechanism may alter and delay ongoing shear localization processes in wider shear zones.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2021)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias R. Heimisson, Jonathan D. Smith, Jean-Philippe Avouac, Stephen J. Bourne
Summary: This paper focuses on modeling induced seismicity. By revising the existing model and applying the new threshold model to the induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands, the two models are compared with the observations. The results show that the new threshold model provides a better fit to the observed seismicity rate and is able to accurately predict the time variation of seismicity.
GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL
(2022)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Elias Rafn Heimisson, Antonio Pio Rinaldi
Summary: The spectral boundary integral method for poroelastodynamic solid is proposed, which shows good performance in simulating short-time dynamic and static responses and reveals significant peak pore pressure in dynamic pore-pressure response.
GEOMECHANICS AND GEOPHYSICS FOR GEO-ENERGY AND GEO-RESOURCES
(2022)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Elias Rafn Heimisson, Shengduo Liu, Nadia Lapusta, John Rudnicki
Summary: Fluid-fault interactions in poroelastic solids are simulated using spectral boundary-integral solutions, revealing the influence of inelastic dilatancy, bulk poroelastic response and bulk hydraulic diffusivity on fault slip behavior. The study demonstrates that inelastic dilatancy significantly affects the stability of fault slip and the pore pressure evolution, while the bulk poroelastic response and hydraulic diffusivity also play critical roles in determining rupture stability.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH
(2022)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Jonathan D. Smith, Elias R. Heimisson, Stephen J. Bourne, Jean -Philippe Avouac
Summary: In this study, a new method is proposed to assess stress changes due to gas extraction and forecast induced seismicity using the Groningen gas field as a test case. The method utilizes detailed knowledge of the reservoir geometry and production history, as well as surface subsidence measurements and seismicity data. The findings suggest that the exponential rise of seismicity nearly 30 years after the onset of production provides constraints on the distribution of initial strength, and the Gaussian distribution is suitable to describe both the tail and body of the distribution. It is concluded that the presented method is computationally efficient and robust to uncertainties.
EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS
(2022)