期刊
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
卷 82, 期 -, 页码 2779-2790出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2017.10.007
关键词
Transition pathways; Scenarios; Energy systems modelling; Whole systems appraisal; United Kingdom
资金
- UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
- E.On UK (the integrated energy company) [EP/F022832/1]
- EPSRC [EP/K005316/1, EP/G036608/1]
- EPSRC [EP/K005316/1, EP/F022832/1] Funding Source: UKRI
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/K005316/1, 1222255, EP/F022832/1] Funding Source: researchfish
The United Kingdom (UK) has placed itself on a transition towards a low-carbon economy and society, through the imposition of a goal of reducing its 'greenhouse' gas emissions by 80% by 2050. A set of three low-carbon 'Transition Pathways' were developed to examine the influence of different governance arrangements on achieving a low-carbon future. They focus on the power sector, including the potential for increasing use of low-carbon electricity for heating and transport. These transition pathways were developed by starting from narrative storylines regarding different governance framings, drawing on interviews and workshops with stake-holders and analysis of historical analogies. Here the quantified pathways are compared and contrasted with the main scenarios developed in the UK Government's 2011 Carbon Plan. This can aid an informed debate on the technical feasibility and social acceptability of realising transition pathways for decarbonising the UK energy sector by 2050. The contribution of these pathways to meeting Britain's energy and carbon reduction goals are therefore evaluated on a 'whole systems' basis, including the implications of 'upstream emissions' arising from the 'fuel supply chain' ahead of power generators themselves.
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