4.6 Article

Stochastic analysis of a novel nonautonomous periodic SIRI epidemic system with random disturbances

期刊

出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.057

关键词

Stochastic SIRI epidemic model; Lyapunov function; Extinction and persistence in mean; Periodic solution

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [11371230, 11561004]
  2. SDUST Research Fund [2014TDJH102]
  3. Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation, China [ZR2015AQ001]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

In this paper, a new stochastic nonautonomous SIRI epidemic model is formulated. Given that the incidence rates of diseases may change with the environment, we propose a novel type of transmission function. The main aim of this paper is to obtain the thresholds of the stochastic SIRI epidemic model. To this end, we investigate the dynamics of the stochastic system and establish the conditions for extinction and persistence in mean of the disease by constructing some suitable Lyapunov functions and using stochastic analysis technique. Furthermore, we show that the stochastic system has at least one nontrivial positive periodic solution. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our results. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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