期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
卷 99, 期 -, 页码 147-155出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.09.015
关键词
Wicked problems; Agent-based modelling; Post-normal science; Social-ecological systems; Shallow coastal systems
类别
资金
- NIWA Hamilton PhD Scholarship under COMS1402 Ecosystem-Based Management of Coasts and Estuaries
- MBIE Natural Hazards Research Platform [X05X0907]
- MBIE under the Resilience to Nature's Challenges National Science Challenge (Living at the Edge programme)
Multiple dilemmas confound social-ecological modelling. This review paper focuses on two: a modeller's dilemma associated with determining appropriate levels of model simplification, and a dilemma of decision-making relating to the use of models that were never designed to predict. We analyse approaches for addressing these dilemmas as they relate to shallow coastal systems and conclude that wicked problems cannot be adequately addressed using traditional disciplinary or systems engineering modelling. Simplified inter-and trans-disciplinary models have the potential to identify directions of system change, challenge thinking in disciplinary silos, and ultimately confront the dilemmas of social-ecological modelling. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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