Model averaging in ecology: a review of Bayesian, information-theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference

Considerations for assessing model averaging of regression coefficients

(2016) Katharine M. Banner et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Ensemble Averaging and Mean Squared Error

(2016) Jonathan Rougier   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Comparison of approaches to combine species distribution models based on different sets of predictors

(2015) David Romero et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A guide to Bayesian model selection for ecologists

(2015) M. B. Hooten et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences

(2015) Brian S. Cade   ECOLOGY

Robust Bayesian model averaging for the analysis of presence–absence data

(2015) Giorgio Corani et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL AND ECOLOGICAL STATISTICS

The devil is in the detail: unstable response functions in species distribution models challenge bulk ensemble modelling

(2015) Henrik Hannemann et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Scaling mangrove aboveground biomass from site-level to continental-scale

(2015) A. S. Rovai et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

REVIEW: Predictive ecology in a changing world

(2015) Nicolas Mouquet et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

(2015) Peter Bauer et al.   NATURE

Model-Averaged Confidence Intervals

(2015) Paul Kabaila et al.   SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS

Overcoming limitations of modelling rare species by using ensembles of small models

(2015) Frank T. Breiner et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

The iterative ensemble modelling approach increases the accuracy of fish distribution models

(2014) Christine Lauzeral et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Advancing projections of phytoplankton responses to climate change through ensemble modelling

(2014) Dennis Trolle et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Predictive RANS simulations via Bayesian Model-Scenario Averaging

(2014) W.N. Edeling et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS

Predictive Model of Avian Electrocution Risk on Overhead Power Lines

(2013) J. F. DWYER et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Ensemble distribution models in conservation prioritization: from consensus predictions to consensus reserve networks

(2013) Laura Meller et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Integrating ensemble species distribution modelling and statistical phylogeography to inform projections of climate change impacts on species distributions

(2013) Brenna R. Forester et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Evaluation of species distribution models by resampling of sites surveyed a century ago by Joseph Grinnell

(2013) Adam B. Smith et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Evaluating ensemble forecasts of plant species distributions under climate change

(2013) Shawn M. Crimmins et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Climatic and biotic velocities for woody taxa distributions over the last 16 000 years in eastern North America

(2013) Alejandro Ordonez et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Response diversity to land use occurs but does not consistently stabilise ecosystem services provided by native pollinators

(2013) Daniel P. Cariveau et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Combining ensemble modeling and remote sensing for mapping individual tree species at high spatial resolution

(2013) Robin Engler et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Model averaging by jackknife criterion in models with dependent data

(2013) Xinyu Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS

Hyperspectral remote sensing of plant biochemistry using Bayesian model averaging with variable and band selection

(2013) Kaiguang Zhao et al.   REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT

Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models

(2013) Andrew Gelman et al.   STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Model-averaged Wald confidence intervals

(2012) Daniel Turek et al.   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Understanding diversity-stability relationships: towards a unified model of portfolio effects

(2012) Loïc M. Thibaut et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Bayesian calibration, comparison and averaging of six forest models, using data from Scots pine stands across Europe

(2012) M. van Oijen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Predict Tree Aboveground Biomass in Tropical Moist Forests

(2012) Nicolas Picard et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

Frequentist model averaging for linear mixed-effects models

(2012) Xinjie Chen et al.   Frontiers of Mathematics in China

Climatic Associations of British Species Distributions Show Good Transferability in Time but Low Predictive Accuracy for Range Change

(2012) Giovanni Rapacciuolo et al.   PLoS One

A general and simple method for obtainingR2from generalized linear mixed-effects models

(2012) Shinichi Nakagawa et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Model-averaged confidence intervals for factorial experiments

(2011) David Fletcher et al.   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application

(2011) Florian Hartig et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Exploring consensus in 21st century projections of climatically suitable areas for African vertebrates

(2011) Raquel A. Garcia et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Model-Averaged Profile Likelihood Intervals

(2011) David Fletcher et al.   JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL BIOLOGICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS

Jackknife model averaging

(2011) Bruce E. Hansen et al.   JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS

Multimodel inference in ecology and evolution: challenges and solutions

(2011) C. E. GRUEBER et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Optimal Weight Choice for Frequentist Model Average Estimators

(2011) Hua Liang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Shrinkage averaging estimation

(2011) Michael Schomaker   STATISTICAL PAPERS

To Explain or to Predict?

(2011) Galit Shmueli   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

SELECTION OF WEIGHTS FOR WEIGHTED MODEL AVERAGING

(2010) Paul H. Garthwaite et al.   AUSTRALIAN & NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF STATISTICS

Model selection and model averaging in behavioural ecology: the utility of the IT-AIC framework

(2010) Shane A. Richards et al.   BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND SOCIOBIOLOGY

AIC model selection and multimodel inference in behavioral ecology: some background, observations, and comparisons

(2010) Kenneth P. Burnham et al.   BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND SOCIOBIOLOGY

Model averaging, missing data and multiple imputation: a case study for behavioural ecology

(2010) Shinichi Nakagawa et al.   BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND SOCIOBIOLOGY

Dealing with collinearity in behavioural and ecological data: model averaging and the problems of measurement error

(2010) Robert P. Freckleton   BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND SOCIOBIOLOGY

A brief guide to model selection, multimodel inference and model averaging in behavioural ecology using Akaike’s information criterion

(2010) Matthew R. E. Symonds et al.   BEHAVIORAL ECOLOGY AND SOCIOBIOLOGY

Model averaging and probable status of North Pacific striped marlin, Tetrapturus audax

(2010) Jon Brodziak et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES

Prospective sampling based on model ensembles improves the detection of rare species

(2010) Gwenaëlle Le Lay et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Ensemble modelling of species distribution: the effects of geographical and environmental ranges

(2010) Gael Grenouillet et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Comparison of point forecast accuracy of model averaging methods in hydrologic applications

(2010) Cees G. H. Diks et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

A review of applications of model–data fusion to studies of terrestrial carbon fluxes at different scales

(2009) Ying-Ping Wang et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Model selection bias and Freedman’s paradox

(2009) Paul M. Lukacs et al.   ANNALS OF THE INSTITUTE OF STATISTICAL MATHEMATICS

Frequentist Model Averaging with missing observations

(2009) Michael Schomaker et al.   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change

(2009) José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A framework for modelling fish and shellfish responses to future climate change

(2009) A. B. Hollowed et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Calibration and uncertainty analysis of the SWAT model using Genetic Algorithms and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2009) Xuesong Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

An improved model averaging scheme for logistic regression

(2009) D. Ghosh et al.   JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS

Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models

(2009) Richard L. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble Forecasts

(2009) Christine Johnson et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Combining Multiple Biomarker Models in Logistic Regression

(2008) Zheng Yuan et al.   BIOMETRICS

Statistical consensus methods for improving predictive geomorphology maps

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   COMPUTERS & GEOSCIENCES

Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Prediction uncertainty of environmental change effects on temperate European biodiversity

(2008) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Applying Bayesian Model Averaging to mechanistic models: An example and comparison of methods

(2008) J.M. Gibbons et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Model averaging to combine simulations of future global vegetation carbon stocks

(2008) Adam Butler et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Modelling fish growth: multi-model inference as a better alternative to a priori using von Bertalanffy equation

(2008) Stelios Katsanevakis et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

A working guide to boosted regression trees

(2008) J. Elith et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Approximate Bayesian computation scheme for parameter inference and model selection in dynamical systems

(2008) T. Toni et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Identifying and diagnosing population declines: a Bayesian assessment of lapwings in the UK

(2008) Ruth King et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS

Model Averaging in Microbial Risk Assessment Using Fractional Polynomials

(2008) Harriet Namata et al.   RISK ANALYSIS