期刊
TRANSPORTATION
卷 44, 期 6, 页码 1307-1323出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11116-017-9797-8
关键词
Ride-sourcing services; Car-sharing services; Bivariate ordered probit model; Market adoption and use of disruptive mobility services; Travel demand forecasting
资金
- U.S. Department of Transportation through the Data-Supported Transportation Operations and Planning (D-STOP) Tier 1 University Transportation Center [DTRT13-G-UTC58]
- Humboldt Research Award from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, Germany
There are a number of disruptive mobility services that are increasingly finding their way into the marketplace. Two key examples of such services are car-sharing services and ride-sourcing services. In an effort to better understand the influence of various exogenous socio-economic and demographic variables on the frequency of use of ride-sourcing and car-sharing services, this paper presents a bivariate ordered probit model estimated on a survey data set derived from the 2014-2015 Puget Sound Regional Travel Study. Model estimation results show that users of these services tend to be young, well-educated, higher-income, working individuals residing in higher-density areas. There are significant interaction effects reflecting the influence of children and the built environment on disruptive mobility service usage. The model developed in this paper provides key insights into factors affecting market penetration of these services, and can be integrated in larger travel forecasting model systems to better predict the adoption and use of mobility-on-demand services.
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