4.2 Article

Flooding scenario for four Italian coastal plains using three relative sea level rise models

期刊

JOURNAL OF MAPS
卷 13, 期 2, 页码 961-967

出版社

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/17445647.2017.1415989

关键词

Relative sea level rise; Italian coastal plains; IPCC and Rahmstorf projections; flooding maps; 2100 scenarios

资金

  1. Italian National Research Council (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, CNR) within the framework of the RITMARE Project
  2. Italian Ministry of Education, University and Research [639]
  3. IUGS

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The coastal areas of the central Mediterranean Sea are sensitive to climate change and the consequent relative sea level rise. Both phenomena may affect densely urbanized and populated areas, causing severe damages. Our maps show the land-marine flooding projections as effects of the expected relative sea level rise for four Italian coastal plains using (i) IPCC AR5 estimations, based on the IPCC RCP 8.5 emission scenarios and (ii) the Rahmstorf 2007 model. Isostatic and tectonic data were added to the global projections to estimate the relative sea changes expected along the coastline by 2100, as well as sea-flooding. The northern Adriatic map shows the study area, extending for about 5500 km(2), and is presented at a scale of 1: 300,000 with two inset maps at a scale of 1: 150,000. The Oristano coastal plain is about 125 km(2); the map scale is at 1: 60,000 with an inset map scale at 1: 33,000. The Cagliari coastal study area extends for 61 km(2); the map scale is at 1: 60,000 with two inset maps at 1: 30,000. The Taranto area extends for 4.2 km(2) and is represented at a scale map of 1: 30,000, while the three inset maps are at a scale of 1: 10,000.

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