Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts

Accuracy of forecasts in strategic intelligence

(2014) D. R. Mandel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

World population stabilization unlikely this century

(2014) P. Gerland et al.   SCIENCE

Bayesian Population Projections for the United Nations

(2014) Adrian E. Raftery et al.   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2012) J. McLean Sloughter et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Whaling: Ways to agree on quotas

(2012) Justin G. Cooke et al.   NATURE

Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries

(2012) A. E. Raftery et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools

(2012) K. C. Seto et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Modelling national HIV/AIDS epidemics: revised approach in the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package 2011

(2012) Le Bao et al.   SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED INFECTIONS

Estimating Uncertainty in the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation via Bayesian Melding

(2010) M. G. Falk et al.   JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL BIOLOGICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) J. McLean Sloughter et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Communicating forecast uncertainty: public perception of weather forecast uncertainty

(2010) Susan Joslyn et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting Using Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) Richard M. Chmielecki et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Dimensions of global population projections: what do we know about future population trends and structures?

(2010) W. Lutz et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Science should not be abandoned in a bid to resolve whaling disputes

(2009) J. Cooke et al.   Biology Letters

PROBCAST: A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts

(2009) Clifford Mass et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts

(2009) Susan L. Joslyn et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Bias Correction and Bayesian Model Averaging for Ensemble Forecasts of Surface Wind Direction

(2009) Le Bao et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probability of Precipitation: Assessment and Enhancement of End-User Understanding

(2008) Susan Joslyn et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Progress and challenges in modelling country-level HIV/AIDS epidemics: the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package 2007

(2008) T Brown et al.   SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED INFECTIONS