Detecting failure of climate predictions

Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations

(2012) Julienne C. Stroeve et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Probabilistic projections of agro-climate indices in North America

(2012) Adam Terando et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Conservation in the face of climate change: The roles of alternative models, monitoring, and adaptation in confronting and reducing uncertainty

(2011) Michael J. Conroy et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis

(2011) Julienne C. Stroeve et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Optimal timing for managed relocation of species faced with climate change

(2011) Eve McDonald-Madden et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate change threatens polar bear populations: a stochastic demographic analysis

(2010) Christine M. Hunter et al.   ECOLOGY

Greenhouse gas mitigation can reduce sea-ice loss and increase polar bear persistence

(2010) Steven C. Amstrup et al.   NATURE

A conceptual framework for analysing adaptive capacity and multi-level learning processes in resource governance regimes

(2009) Claudia Pahl-Wostl   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Resource management in a changing and uncertain climate

(2008) Joshua J Lawler et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT