Reliable long-range ensemble streamflow forecasts: Combining calibrated climate forecasts with a conceptual runoff model and a staged error model

An Experiment on Risk-Based Decision-Making in Water Management Using Monthly Probabilistic Forecasts

(2016) Louise Crochemore et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Ensemble forecasting of sub-seasonal to seasonal streamflow by a Bayesian joint probability modelling approach

(2016) Tongtiegang Zhao et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Calibration, Bridging, and Merging to Improve GCM Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Australia

(2016) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Seasonal Forecasting of Global Hydrologic Extremes: System Development and Evaluation over GEWEX Basins

(2015) Xing Yuan et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Long-range forecasts of UK winter hydrology

(2015) C Svensson et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Modeling residual hydrologic errors with Bayesian inference

(2015) Tyler Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Climate index weighting of ensemble streamflow forecasts using a simple Bayesian approach

(2015) A. Allen Bradley et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Model averaging methods to merge operational statistical and dynamic seasonal streamflow forecasts in Australia

(2015) Andrew Schepen et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A review on climate-model-based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development

(2015) Xing Yuan et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Water

Ensemble forecasts of monthly catchment rainfall out to long lead times by post-processing coupled general circulation model output

(2014) Andrew Schepen et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Seasonal Forecasts of Australian Rainfall through Calibration and Bridging of Coupled GCM Outputs

(2014) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Comparison of joint versus postprocessor approaches for hydrological uncertainty estimation accounting for error autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity

(2014) Guillaume Evin et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Statistical calibration and bridging of ECMWF System4 outputs for forecasting seasonal precipitation over China

(2014) Zhaoliang Peng et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Intra-seasonal drivers of extreme heat over Australia in observations and POAMA-2

(2013) A. G. Marshall et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Toward Accurate and Reliable Forecasts of Australian Seasonal Rainfall by Calibrating and Merging Multiple Coupled GCMs

(2013) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Improving Intraseasonal Prediction with a New Ensemble Generation Strategy

(2013) Debra Hudson et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Effective use of general circulation model outputs for forecasting monthly rainfalls to long lead times

(2013) Sandra Hawthorne et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Accounting for seasonal dependence in hydrological model errors and prediction uncertainty

(2013) Ming Li et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Pitfalls and improvements in the joint inference of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in hydrological model calibration

(2013) Guillaume Evin et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

The Millennium Drought in southeast Australia (2001-2009): Natural and human causes and implications for water resources, ecosystems, economy, and society

(2013) Albert I. J. M. van Dijk et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions During 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?

(2012) Anthony G. Barnston et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Merging Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts from Multiple Statistical Models through Bayesian Model Averaging

(2012) Q. J. Wang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Combining the strengths of statistical and dynamical modeling approaches for forecasting Australian seasonal rainfall

(2012) Andrew Schepen et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Ensemble Streamflow Prediction: Climate signal weighting methods vs. Climate Forecast System Reanalysis

(2012) Mohammad Reza Najafi et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Analog Downscaling of Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts in the Murray Darling Basin

(2012) Andrew Charles et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A log-sinh transformation for data normalization and variance stabilization

(2012) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Monthly versus daily water balance models in simulating monthly runoff

(2011) Q.J. Wang et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Soil Moisture, Snow, and Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts in the United States

(2011) Sarith Mahanama et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Multisite probabilistic forecasting of seasonal flows for streams with zero value occurrences

(2011) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Superposition of three sources of uncertainties in operational flood forecasting chains

(2010) Massimiliano Zappa et al.   ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH

Skill in streamflow forecasts derived from large-scale estimates of soil moisture and snow

(2010) Randal D. Koster et al.   Nature Geoscience

A multisite seasonal ensemble streamflow forecasting technique

(2010) Cameron Bracken et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A formal likelihood function for parameter and predictive inference of hydrologic models with correlated, heteroscedastic, and non-Gaussian errors

(2010) Gerrit Schoups et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors

(2010) Benjamin Renard et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A Bayesian joint probability modeling approach for seasonal forecasting of streamflows at multiple sites

(2009) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty

(2008) Andrew W. Wood et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Correcting Errors in Streamflow Forecast Ensemble Mean and Spread

(2008) Andrew W. Wood et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY