4.5 Article

NARX prediction of some rare chaotic flows: Recurrent fuzzy functions approach

期刊

PHYSICS LETTERS A
卷 380, 期 5-6, 页码 696-706

出版社

ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.physleta.2015.11.036

关键词

Rare chaotic flows; Hidden attractor; Fuzzy functions; Recurrent structure; Long term prediction

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The nonlinear and dynamic accommodating capability of time domain models makes them a useful representation of chaotic time series for analysis, modeling and prediction. This paper is devoted to the modeling and prediction of chaotic time series with hidden attractors using a nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous inputs (NARX) based on a novel recurrent fuzzy functions (RFFs) approach. Case studies of recently introduced chaotic systems with hidden attractors plus classical chaotic systems demonstrate that the proposed modeling methodology exhibits better prediction performance from different viewpoints (short term and long term) compared to some other existing methods. (c) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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