RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections

The size of the land carbon sink in China

(2022) Yilong Wang et al.   NATURE

Annual Mean Arctic Amplification 1970–2020: Observed and Simulated by CMIP6 Climate Models

(2022) Petr Chylek et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Permafrost and Climate Change: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks From the Warming Arctic

(2022) Edward A.G. Schuur et al.   Annual Review of Environment and Resources

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

(2022) David I. Armstrong McKay et al.   SCIENCE

A Process‐Model Perspective on Recent Changes in the Carbon Cycle of North America

(2022) Guillermo Murray‐Tortarolo et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Global maps of twenty-first century forest carbon fluxes

(2021) Nancy L. Harris et al.   Nature Climate Change

Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated

(2021) Karina Winkler et al.   Nature Communications

Disturbance suppresses the aboveground carbon sink in North American boreal forests

(2021) Jonathan A. Wang et al.   Nature Climate Change

Are Land‐Use Change Emissions in Southeast Asia Decreasing or Increasing?

(2021) Masayuki Kondo et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

The role of northern peatlands in the global carbon cycle for the 21st century

(2020) Chunjing Qiu et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and Carbon Budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets

(2020) Chris D Jones et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Climate model projections of 21 st century global warming constrained using the observed warming trend

(2020) Yongxiao Liang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Harmonized global maps of above and belowground biomass carbon density in the year 2010

(2020) Seth A. Spawn et al.   Scientific Data

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

(2020) Katarzyna B. Tokarska et al.   Science Advances

CO2 emissions from forest degradation in Brazilian Amazonia

(2020) Talita Oliveira Assis et al.   Environmental Research Letters

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

(2020) S. Sherwood et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS) product suite

(2020) Shunlin Liang et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

(2019) Veronika Eyring et al.   Nature Climate Change

Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

(2019) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

Significant feedbacks of wetland methane release on climate change and the causes of their uncertainty

(2019) N Gedney et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Bounding global aerosol radiative forcing of climate change

(2019) N. Bellouin et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

State of the science in reconciling top‐down and bottom‐up approaches for terrestrial CO 2 budget

(2019) Masayuki Kondo et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Drought stress and tree size determine stem CO2 efflux in a tropical forest

(2018) Lucy Rowland et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Predicting soil carbon loss with warming

(2018) Natasja van Gestel et al.   NATURE

A large committed long-term sink of carbon due to vegetation dynamics

(2018) T. A. M. Pugh et al.   Earths Future

Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake

(2017) Nicole S Lovenduski et al.   Environmental Research Letters

A climate model projection weighting scheme accounting for performance and interdependence

(2017) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Models meet data: Challenges and opportunities in implementing land management in Earth system models

(2017) Julia Pongratz et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Narrowing the Range of Future Climate Projections Using Historical Observations of Atmospheric CO2

(2017) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

An observation-based constraint on permafrost loss as a function of global warming

(2017) S. E. Chadburn et al.   Nature Climate Change

SoilGrids250m: Global gridded soil information based on machine learning

(2017) Tomislav Hengl et al.   PLoS One

Land management: data availability and process understanding for global change studies

(2016) Karl-Heinz Erb et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle

(2016) Alan J. Hewitt et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2

(2016) Sabrina Wenzel et al.   NATURE

The decadal state of the terrestrial carbon cycle: Global retrievals of terrestrial carbon allocation, pools, and residence times

(2016) A. Anthony Bloom et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

European land CO2 sink influenced by NAO and East-Atlantic Pattern coupling

(2016) Ana Bastos et al.   Nature Communications

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings

(2015) Andrew H MacDougall et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Insights on past and future sea-ice evolution from combining observations and models

(2015) Julienne Stroeve et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Quantifying the relative importance of land cover change from climate and land use in the representative concentration pathways

(2015) T. Davies-Barnard et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Predicting long-term carbon sequestration in response to CO2 enrichment: How and why do current ecosystem models differ?

(2015) Anthony P. Walker et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Nitrogen Availability Reduces CMIP5 Projections of Twenty-First-Century Land Carbon Uptake*

(2015) Sönke Zaehle et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

How well must climate models agree with observations?

(2015) Dirk Notz   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The dominant role of semi-arid ecosystems in the trend and variability of the land CO2 sink

(2015) A. Ahlstrom et al.   SCIENCE

Global covariation of carbon turnover times with climate in terrestrial ecosystems

(2014) Nuno Carvalhais et al.   NATURE

Emergent constraints on climate-carbon cycle feedbacks in the CMIP5 Earth system models

(2014) Sabrina Wenzel et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO2Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways

(2013) Chris Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evaluating the Land and Ocean Components of the Global Carbon Cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models

(2013) A. Anav et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

(2013) Pierre Friedlingstein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability

(2013) Peter M. Cox et al.   NATURE

Enhanced Seasonal Exchange of CO2 by Northern Ecosystems Since 1960

(2013) H. D. Graven et al.   SCIENCE

Causes and implications of persistent atmospheric carbon dioxide biases in Earth System Models

(2013) F. M. Hoffman et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Estimating the Permafrost-Carbon Climate Response in the CMIP5 Climate Models Using a Simplified Approach

(2012) Eleanor J. Burke et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Analysis of Permafrost Thermal Dynamics and Response to Climate Change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models

(2012) Charles D. Koven et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Use of a process-based model to describe spatial variation in Pinus radiata productivity in New Zealand

(2011) Miko U.F. Kirschbaum et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Climate change and thresholds of biome shifts in Amazonia

(2010) Luis Fernando Salazar et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change

(2008) W. A. Kurz et al.   NATURE