Stratification of the vertical spread‐skill relation by radiosonde drift in a convective‐scale ensemble

IMPROVER: the new probabilistic post processing system at the UK Met Office

(2023) Nigel Roberts et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Met Office winter testbed 2020/2021: Experimenting with an on‐demand 300‐m ensemble in a real‐time environment

(2022) C. L. Bain et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Elucidating the causes of errors in 2.2km Met Office Unified Model simulations of a convective case over the USA Great Plains

(2021) Kirsty Hanley et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Aircraft observations of the lake‐land breeze circulation over Lake Victoria

(2021) Beth J. Woodhams et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A Physically-Based Stochastic Boundary-Layer Perturbation Scheme. Part I: Formulation and evaluation in a convection-permitting model.

(2020) P. A. Clark et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Convective-Scale Perturbation Growth across the Spectrum of Convective Regimes

(2018) David L. A. Flack et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Spatial spread-skill relationship in terms of agreement scales for precipitation forecasts in a convection-allowing ensemble

(2017) Xi Chen et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Representing model uncertainty in the Met Office convection-permitting ensemble prediction system and its impact on fog forecasting

(2016) Anne McCabe et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Upscale Error Growth in a High-Resolution Simulation of a Summertime Weather Event over Europe

(2015) Tobias Selz et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Changes to radiosonde reports and their processing for numerical weather prediction

(2014) Bruce Ingleby et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

A Spatial View of Ensemble Spread in Convection Permitting Ensembles

(2014) Seonaid R. A. Dey et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Characterizing and Optimizing Precipitation Forecasts from a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Initialized by a Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter

(2014) Craig S. Schwartz et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

Assessing the Ensemble Spread–Error Relationship

(2013) T. M. Hopson   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Impact of Radiosonde Balloon Drift on Numerical Weather Prediction and Verification

(2013) Stéphane Laroche et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

A Strategy for Verifying Near-Convection-Resolving Model Forecasts at Observing Sites

(2013) Marion P. Mittermaier   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

Practical and Intrinsic Predictability of Severe and Convective Weather at the Mesoscales

(2012) Christopher Melhauser et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble Forecasts

(2009) Christine Johnson et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A Comparison of Precipitation Forecast Skill between Small Convection-Allowing and Large Convection-Parameterizing Ensembles

(2009) Adam J. Clark et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING