4.5 Article

Decarbonizing the International Shipping and Aviation Sectors

期刊

ENERGIES
卷 15, 期 24, 页码 -

出版社

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/en15249650

关键词

international shipping; aviation; PROMETHEUS energy model; decarbonization; low-emission fuels

资金

  1. European Union Horizon 2020 research and innovation program [821124, 101003866]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The Paris Agreement requires a significant transformation of the global energy system and major emitting sectors, but aviation and shipping emissions are not aligning with its goals. The lack of commercial mitigation options and challenges in electrification make the large-scale deployment of low-carbon fuels the most promising alternative for decarbonizing these sectors. National climate action can synergize with international transport in reducing trade of fossil fuels and mitigating the activity of international shipping.
The Paris Agreement requires a drastic reduction of global carbon emissions towards the net zero transition by mid-century, based on the large-scale transformation of the global energy system and major emitting sectors. Aviation and shipping emissions are not on a trajectory consistent with Paris goals, driven by rapid activity growth and the lack of commercial mitigation options, given the challenges for electrification of these sectors. Large-scale models used for mitigation analysis commonly do not capture the specificities and emission reduction options of international shipping and aviation, while bottom-up sectoral models do not represent their interlinkages with the entire system. Here, I use the global energy system model PROMETHEUS, enhanced with a detailed representation of the shipping and aviation sector, to explore transformation pathways for these sectors and their emission, activity, and energy mix impacts. The most promising alternative towards decarbonizing these sectors is the large-scale deployment of low-carbon fuels, including biofuels and synthetic clean fuels, accompanied by energy efficiency improvements. The analysis shows that ambitious climate policy would reduce the trade of fossil fuels and lower the activity and the mitigation effort of international shipping, indicating synergies between national climate action and international transport.

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