期刊
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
卷 537, 期 -, 页码 297-310出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.015
关键词
Downscaling of streamflow and rainfall; Daily streamflow reconstruction; Streamflow time series; Statistical analysis; Historical dataset
资金
- United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) through the Global Assessment Report (GAR)
Downscaling methods are used to derive stream flow at a high temporal resolution from a data series that has a coarser time resolution. These algorithms are useful for many applications, such as water management and statistical analysis, because in many cases stream flow time series are available with coarse temporal steps (monthly), especially when considering historical data; however, in many cases, data that have a finer temporal resolution are needed (daily). In this study, we considered a simple but efficient stochastic auto-regressive model that is able to downscale the available stream flow data from monthly to daily time resolution and applied it to a large dataset that covered the entire North and Central American continent. Basins with different drainage areas and different hydro-climatic characteristics were considered, and the results show the general good ability of the analysed model to downscale monthly stream flows to daily stream flows, especially regarding the reproduction of the annual maxima. If the performance in terms of the reproduction of hydro graphs and duration curves is considered, better results are obtained for those cases in which the hydrologic regime is such that the annual maxima stream flow show low or medium variability, which means that they have a low or medium coefficient of variation; however, when the variability increases, the performance of the model decreases. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
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