Article
Psychology, Clinical
Younga Heather Lee, Tanayott Thaweethai, Yi-Han Sheu, Yen-Chen Anne Feng, Elizabeth W. Karlson, Tian Ge, Peter Kraft, Jordan W. Smoller
Summary: Hospital-based biobanks may introduce bias in polygenic risk estimation due to non-random selection of participants. Logistic regression models with inverse probability weights were used to correct for selection bias. The prevalence of bipolar disorder and depression decreased after accounting for selection bias using inverse probability weights.
PSYCHOLOGICAL MEDICINE
(2023)
Article
Economics
Ernan Haruvy, Timo Heinrich, Matthew J. Walker
Summary: This study examines the power probability weighting function and risk-averse preferences in first price sealed-bid auctions. By observing and analyzing the influence of the auction environment, the data supports both theories, but also reveals a significant number of violations.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
M. Daniel Brannock, Robert F. Chew, Alexander J. Preiss, Emily C. Hadley, Signe Redfield, Julie A. McMurry, Peter J. Leese, Andrew T. Girvin, Miles Crosskey, Andrea G. Zhou, Richard A. Moffitt, Michele Jonsson Funk, Emily R. Pfaff, Melissa A. Haendel, Christopher G. Chute, Til Stuermer, Jasmin Divers, Til Sturmer, Johanna J. Loomba, Farrukh M. Koraishy, Lorna E. Thorpe, Leora Horwitz, Stuart Katz
Summary: Using electronic health records, researchers found that COVID-19 vaccination is associated with a lower incidence of long COVID. Vaccinated individuals have a reduced risk of being diagnosed with long COVID.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2023)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Rachel J. Keith, Rochelle H. Holm, Alok R. Amraotkar, Megan M. Bezold, Michael Brick, Adrienne M. Bushau-Sprinkle, Krystal T. Hamorsky, Kathleen T. Kitterman, Kenneth E. Palmer, Ted Smith, Ray Yeager, Aruni Bhatnagar
Summary: This study evaluated the community-wide prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Jefferson County, Kentucky using stratified simple random sampling. The results showed that both randomized and volunteer samples produced similar prevalence estimates, which were higher than the administratively reported rates. This suggests that targeted sampling for SARS-CoV-2 provides better estimates of prevalence than administrative reports based on incident disease.
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
(2023)
Article
Psychology, Multidisciplinary
Fei Song, Yiyun Shou, Joel Olney, Felix S. H. Yeung
Summary: This study investigates the impact of uncertainty on the preference for action and inaction in moral dilemmas. The results show that participants prefer actions with uncertainty, especially when moral dilemmas have a loss frame.
CURRENT PSYCHOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Industrial
Minghui Cheng, Dan M. Frangopol
Summary: Reliability-, risk-, and utility-based life-cycle maintenance is a normative approach for rational decision-making regarding structural systems under uncertainty. Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is a popular model to describe people's decisions under risk, capturing attitudes towards high consequence and low probability associated with structural failure. Parameters of CPT need to be calibrated for specific contexts, as they can significantly affect optimal decisions under riskier plans.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
(2022)
Article
Business
Jennifer Seokhwa Hong, Chiara Longoni, Vicki G. Morwitz
Summary: We have discovered a new proximity bias in probability judgments, where spatial distance and outcome valence interact in determining probability judgments. Through six hypothetical and incentive-compatible experiments (combined N = 4007), we found that positive outcomes are estimated as more likely when near and negative outcomes are estimated as less likely when near. This bias is explained by wishful thinking and perceptions of outcome desirability, and it does not manifest when the outcome is less relevant for the self or when estimating outcomes for others who are irrelevant to the self.
JOURNAL OF CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Psychology, Experimental
Veronika Zilker, Thorsten Pachur
Summary: Probability weighting is a powerful construct in descriptive models of risky choice. It is related to attention allocation across attributes and options, but the relationship between these two links is unclear. This study shows that attribute attention and option attention have independent effects on probability weighting, and deviations from linear weighting mainly occur when attention is imbalanced. The findings enrich our understanding of preferences and highlight the importance of considering different facets of attention allocation in decision making.
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Jacqueline E. Rudolph, Enrique F. Schisterman, Ashley Naimi
Summary: The authors compared the performance of inverse probability weighting (IPW) and g-computation in time-varying analyses. They found that IPW and Monte Carlo g-computation performed similarly, while ICE g-computation had the least bias but lowest precision.
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Chao Cheng, Fan Li, Laine E. Thomas, Fan (Frank) Li
Summary: This article introduces estimators that combine propensity score weighting and inverse probability of treatment weighting to estimate counterfactual survival functions. Simulation results demonstrate that overlap weighting consistently outperforms IPTW and trimming methods for time-to-event outcomes.
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Health Care Sciences & Services
Sarah B. Peskoe, David Arterburn, Karen J. Coleman, Lisa J. Herrinton, Michael J. Daniels, Sebastien Haneuse
Summary: This study proposes a new framework for researching electronic health records data to better estimate and infer regression models, addressing the selection bias caused by incomplete/missing data. Simulation results show that the proposed methods perform well in small-sample properties, however, researchers need to balance bias and variance when handling missing data.
STATISTICAL METHODS IN MEDICAL RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Development Studies
Ashenafi Duguma Feyisa, Miet Maertens, Yann de Mey
Summary: This paper explores the diversity in risk perception and risk preferences of Ethiopian households by combining incentivized field experiments with detailed primary household survey data. The study finds that the respondents are exposed to multiple past and future agricultural risks, and exhibit characteristics of relative risk aversion, loss aversion, and overweighting of unlikely extreme outcomes. The findings highlight the significant association between risk preferences and risk perception, providing valuable insights for better informed and targeted risk management policy interventions.
Article
Psychology, Experimental
Francesco Margoni, Janet Geipel, Constantinos Hadjichristidis, Richard Bakiaj, Luca Surian
Summary: Research suggests that moral evaluations change during adulthood. Older adults tend to judge accidentally harmful acts more severely than younger adults do, and this age-related difference is in part due to the greater negligence older adults attribute to the accidental harmdoers. These findings refine our understanding of the cognitive processes underpinning moral judgment in older adulthood and highlight the role of subjective probability judgments in negligence attribution.
Article
Economics
Arnaldo Joao do Nascimento Junior, Marcelo Cabus Klotzle, Luiz Eduardo T. Brandao, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto
Summary: Using prospect theory, narrow framing bias in investment decisions in emerging countries such as Brazil, China, Russia, Mexico, and South Africa were analyzed. The empirical study identified the predictive power of prospect theory for stock returns, with the probability weighting function as the most important factor. The relationship between prospect theory and stock returns differs by country and may be influenced by cultural factors.
QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Marcia P. Jimenez, Izzuddin M. Aris, Sheryl Rifas-Shiman, Jessica Young, Henning Tiemeier, Marie-France Hivert, Emily Oken, Peter James
Summary: Studies using inverse probability weighting of marginal structural models estimated the effects of greenness exposure on children's executive function and behavior. Results suggested that providing maximum greenness exposure only in early childhood may have a beneficial association with behavior in mid-childhood, while the effects of persistent maximum greenness exposure on behavior were inconclusive.
ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION
(2021)
Article
Immunology
Jude Moutchia, Richard Njouom, Eva Rumpler, Camille Besombes, Gaetan Texier, Mathurin Tejiokem, Pascal Crepey, Arnaud Fontanet, Yusuke Shimakawa
Summary: This study found a significant association between lower maternal age at first childbirth and HBV positivity, suggesting a crucial role of HBV mother-to-child transmission in maintaining high HBV endemicity.
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES
(2022)
Article
Geriatrics & Gerontology
Gaelle Farge, Benoit de Wazieres, Jocelyn Raude, Clemence Delavelle, Fabienne Humbert, Cecile Janssen
Summary: Extending pneumococcal vaccination to all individuals aged >= 65 years would be welcomed by healthcare professionals, simplifying the identification of patients to be vaccinated and potentially improving vaccination coverage.
Article
Infectious Diseases
Thierry Rigoine de Fougerolles, Joan Puig-Barbera, George Kassianos, Philippe Vanhems, Jorg Schelling, Pascal Crepey, Raul Ortiz de Lejarazu, Filippo Ansaldi, Markus Fruhwein, Cristina Galli, Anne Mosnier, Elena Pariani, Anvar Rasuli, Olivier Vitoux, John Watkins, Thomas Weinke, Helene Bricout
Summary: In response to the COVID-19 outbreak in Europe in 2020, existing influenza surveillance systems were repurposed to monitor COVID-19. Most countries adapted their surveillance systems to monitor COVID-19, with improvements in data granularity and communication leading to enhanced public awareness. However, uncertainties remain on how both influenza and COVID-19 surveillance can be jointly and durably implemented.
INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kathleen McColl, Marion Debin, Cecile Souty, Caroline Guerrisi, Clement Turbelin, Alessandra Falchi, Isabelle Bonmarin, Daniela Paolotti, Chinelo Obi, Jim Duggan, Yamir Moreno, Ania Wisniak, Antoine Flahault, Thierry Blanchon, Vittoria Colizza, Jocelyn Raude
Summary: This study investigates unrealistic optimism during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe, its changes over time, and its association with protective measures. The findings show the prevalence of unrealistic optimism influenced by the epidemic context. While absolute unrealistic optimism decreased over time, comparative unrealistic optimism increased, indicating accurate personal risk assessment but overestimation of others' risk. Comparative unrealistic optimism was negatively associated with the adoption of protective behaviors.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
(2022)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Thierry Rigoine de Fougerolles, Oliver Damm, Filippo Ansaldi, Maria Chironna, Pascal Crepey, Simon de Lusignan, Ian Gray, Jose Maria Guillen, George Kassianos, Anne Mosnier, Raul Ortiz de Lejarazu, Elena Pariani, Joan Puig-Barbera, Joerg Schelling, Francesca Trippi, Philippe Vanhems, Klaus Wahle, John Watkins, Anvar Rasuli, Olivier Vitoux, Helene Bricout
Summary: This study developed and tested a framework for comparing influenza surveillance systems in Europe. The surveillance systems in five European countries were evaluated qualitatively, and a framework based on five comparison criteria was established. The results showed variations in the coverage and quality of surveillance sub-systems between countries, and the framework allowed the identification of structural differences and evaluation of adherence to WHO guidance.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Arnaud Foucrier, Jules Perrio, Johann Grisel, Pascal Crepey, Etienne Gayat, Antoine Vieillard-Baron, Frederic Batteux, Tobias Gauss, Pierre Squara, Seak-Hy Lo, Matthias Wargon, Romain Hellmann
Summary: This study analyzed the hospital pathways of 90,834 COVID-19 patients managed in the Paris area using transition matrices and Markov chains. Three severe epidemic periods were identified with variations in the proportion of direct ICU admissions, ICU mortality, and length of hospital stay.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
(2022)
Review
Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology
Cecile Janssen, Anne Mosnier, Gaetan Gavazzi, Behazine Combadiere, Pascal Crepey, Jacques Gaillat, Odile Launay, Elisabeth Botelho-Nevers
Summary: The article explores the safety, immunogenicity, efficacy, and acceptability of coadministration of influenza and COVID-19 vaccines, finding no safety concerns and potential to increase vaccine coverage.
HUMAN VACCINES & IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS
(2022)
Article
Infectious Diseases
Bronke Boudewijns, John Paget, Marco Del Riccio, Laurent Coudeville, Pascal Crepey
Summary: We analyzed the 2022 winter influenza epidemic in Australia using an age-structured dynamic transmission model, taking into account past epidemics and estimating population susceptibility. We also applied the same model to five European countries. Our analysis suggests that Europe may experience an early and moderately large influenza epidemic. Differences may arise between countries, with Germany and Spain likely to have larger epidemics, especially in children, compared to France, Italy, and the United Kingdom.
INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Jonathan Roux, Clement R. Massonnaud, Vittoria Colizza, Simon Cauchemez, Pascal Crepey
Summary: We assessed the impact of national and regional lockdowns considering the French first epidemic wave of COVID-19 as a case study. Regional lockdowns for preventing ICU saturation would have been needed in almost all French regions within 10 days. The timing of lockdowns, whether at a regional or national level, significantly affects the morbidity, mortality, and stress on the healthcare system.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
(2023)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Jeanne Goupil de Bouille, Liem Binh Luong Nguyen, Pascal Crepey, Ronan Garlantezec, Veronique Dore, Audrey Dumas, Mohamed Ben Mechlia, Pierre Tattevin, Jean Gaudart, Bruno Spire, France Lert, Yazdan Yazdanpanah, Constance Delaugerre, Marion Noret, Jeremy Zeggagh
Summary: The ITOC study aims to determine the relative risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission during an indoor clubbing event among a fully vaccinated population. It also aims to assess the transmission of other respiratory viruses, risk exposure, and attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccination, health pass, and psychological impact of indoor club closing.
FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
(2022)
Review
Infectious Diseases
Didier Pinquier, Pascal Crepey, Pierre Tissieres, Astrid Vabret, Jean-Christophe Roze, Francois Dubos, Fabienne Cahn-Sellem, Etienne Javouhey, Robert Cohen, Catherine Weil-Olivier
Summary: The highly contagious respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is responsible for a significant number of hospitalizations in children under 5 years old in France. Strategies such as maternal vaccination and administration of long-acting monoclonal antibodies are being investigated to protect young children from RSV infection.
INFECTIOUS DISEASES AND THERAPY
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Damien Oudin Doglioni, Amandine Gagneux-Brunon, Aurelie Gauchet, Sebastien Bruel, Cyril Olivier, Gerard Pellissier, Nathalie Thilly, Jonathan Sicsic, Jocelyn Raude, Judith E. Mueller
Summary: This study validated an extended 7C model of antecedents in different population groups in France, examining vaccine acceptance factors for COVID-19 and HPV vaccines. The study found that confidence in the system and social conformism were strongly associated with vaccine acceptance intentionality, providing insights into the continuum from refusal to indecision and acceptance.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
(2023)