4.7 Article

The impact of climate change on three indicator Galliformes species in the northern highlands of Pakistan

期刊

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
卷 29, 期 36, 页码 54330-54347

出版社

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-19631-y

关键词

MaxEnt; Current suitable habitat; Future suitable habitat; Climate refugia; RCP4; 5 & RCP8; 5

资金

  1. NSFC (Natural Science Foundation of China) [41671183, 41271194]
  2. Rufford small grant [27847-1]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The rise in global temperature poses a major threat to species extinction, particularly in the northern highlands of Pakistan. Climate change significantly impacts the distribution of forest-dwelling species, including indicator species. The study shows that these species are predicted to shift towards higher altitudes, resulting in a reduction of suitable habitat.
The rise in global temperature is one of the main threats of extinction to many vulnerable species by the twenty-first century. The negative impacts of climate change on the northern highlands of Pakistan (NHP) could change the species composition. Range shifts and range reduction in the forested landscapes will dramatically affect the distribution of forest-dwelling species, including the Galliformes (ground birds). Three Galliformes (e.g., Lophophorus impejanus, Pucrasia macrolopha, and Tragopan melanocephalus) are indicator species of the environment and currently distributed in NHP. For this study, we used Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt) to simulate the current (average for 1960-1990) and future (in 2050 and 2070) distributions of the species using three General Circulation Models (GCMs) and two climate change scenarios, i.e., RCP4.5 (moderate carbon emission scenario) and RCP8.5 (peak carbon emission scenario). Our results indicated that (i) under all three climate scenarios, species distribution was predicted to both reduce and shift towards higher altitudes. (ii) Across the provinces in the NHP, the species were predicted to average lose around one-third (35%) in 2050 and one-half (47%) by 2070 of the current suitable habitat. (iii) The maximum area of climate refugia was projected between the altitudinal range of 2000 to 4000 m and predicted to shift towards higher altitudes primarily > 3000 m in the future. Our results help inform management plans and conservation strategies for mitigating the impacts of climate change on three indicator Galliforms species in the NHP.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.7
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

Article Environmental Sciences

Activity pattern study of Asiatic black bear (Ursus thibetanus) in the Qinling Mountains, China, by using infrared camera traps

Babar Zahoor, Xuehua Liu, Pengfen Wu, Wanlong Sun, Xiaodong Jia, Zixin Lv, Xiangyu Zhao, Xiangbo He, Baishuo He, Qiong Cai, Melissa Songer

Summary: Studying activity patterns is crucial for understanding animals' behavior adaptation based on habitat conditions. Monitoring Asiatic black bear activity patterns in the Qinling Mountains, researchers found higher activity levels from June to October, with a shorter hibernation period. Bears were mainly active during the daytime in spring and summer, while more active at twilight in autumn. Food preferences and availability due to regional climate conditions are suggested as factors influencing these activity patterns.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2021)

Article Forestry

Fine-scale activity patterns of large- and medium-sized mammals in a deciduous broadleaf forest in the Qinling Mountains, China

Yuke Zhang, Xiangbo He, Xuehua Liu, Melissa Songer, Haishan Dang, Quanfa Zhang

Summary: The composition and interactions of animal species can shape ecological communities, and fine-scale monitoring is crucial for understanding these relationships. This study conducted camera trapping of large- and medium-sized mammals in a deciduous broadleaf forest in the Qinling Mountains, uncovering diel activity patterns and spatial relationships among species. The results highlighted the importance of long-term fine-scale monitoring for improving understanding of species interactions and community dynamics.

JOURNAL OF FORESTRY RESEARCH (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Efficacy and management challenges of the zoning designations of China ' s national parks

Yujun Wang, Hongbo Yang, Dunwu Qi, Melissa Songer, Wenke Bai, Caiquan Zhou, Jindong Zhang, Qiongyu Huang

Summary: China is transforming the management of protected areas by establishing a national park system with zoning designations to balance conservation and development needs. Using the Giant Panda National Park in Sichuan Province as a case study, the effectiveness of the park's zoning designations in protecting critical habitat areas for pandas and managing human disturbances was evaluated. The core zone of the park performs well in covering panda habitat but still faces challenges with human disturbances.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Will the COVID-19 outbreak be a turning point for China ' s wildlife protection: New developments and challenges of wildlife conservation in China

Qiongyu Huang, Fang Wang, Hongbo Yang, Marc Valitutto, Melissa Songer

Summary: The Chinese government's decision to ban terrestrial wildlife for food consumption, along with the planned revision of the Wildlife Protection Law, has the potential to greatly reduce consumption of wildlife and prevent future zoonotic disease outbreaks. Despite facing challenges in traditional medicine use, habitat conservation, law enforcement, and education reforms, recent progress in stricter wildlife consumption bans, protected areas consolidation, and public oversight indicates promising developments. It is clear that governments must no longer allow business as usual in the wildlife industry to safeguard biodiversity and minimize risks of zoonotic disease transmission.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

A global assessment of the impact of individual protected areas on preventing forest loss

Hongbo Yang, Andres Vina, Julie Ann Winkler, Min Gon Chung, Qiongyu Huang, Yue Dou, William J. McShea, Melissa Songer, Jindong Zhang, Jianguo Liu

Summary: The majority of protected areas contribute to preventing forest loss, but only 30.5% of forest loss in these areas have been prevented. Protected areas with higher rates of forest loss in their surrounding regions, located at lower elevations, near cities with higher agricultural productivity, and with fewer human uses permission were better able to prevent forest loss.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2021)

Article Ecology

Descriptive Spatial Analysis of Human-Elephant Conflict (HEC) Distribution and Mapping HEC Hotspots in Keonjhar Forest Division, India

Bismay Ranjan Tripathy, Xuehua Liu, Melissa Songer, Lalit Kumar, Senipandi Kaliraj, Nilanjana Das Chatterjee, W. M. S. Wickramasinghe, Kirti Kumar Mahanta

Summary: Understanding the spatial patterns of human-elephant conflict in the Keonjhar forest division is crucial for targeted mitigation efforts and efficient resource allocation. The study identified significantly dense clusters of conflict hotspots and assessed the temporal change in risk, with crop damage being the most frequent form of conflict.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Field surveys can improve predictions of habitat suitability for reintroductions: a swift fox case study

Zoe Paraskevopoulou, Hila Shamon, Melissa Songer, Graeme Ruxton, William J. McShea

Summary: Reintroductions of animal species are challenging with low success rates, highlighting the importance of improving habitat suitability models. Ground-based habitat quality data significantly improve model accuracy compared to remotely-sensed or geographical data, demonstrating the need for including such metrics in reintroduction planning for mesocarnivores.
Article Environmental Sciences

Analysis of Landscape Connectivity among the Habitats of Asian Elephants in Keonjhar Forest Division, India

Bismay Ranjan Tripathy, Xuehua Liu, Melissa Songer, Babar Zahoor, W. M. S. Wickramasinghe, Kirti Kumar Mahanta

Summary: Land development has extensively impacted natural landforms, causing negative consequences to elephant populations and habitats, leading to human-elephant conflict. Understanding elephant space use and habitat connectivity can provide safe connectivity to maintain ecological flow among populations.

REMOTE SENSING (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Land-use change is associated with multi-century loss of elephant ecosystems in Asia

Shermin de Silva, Tiffany Wu, Philip Nyhus, Ashley Weaver, Alison Thieme, Josiah Johnson, Jamie Wadey, Alexander Mossbrucker, Thinh Vu, Thy Neang, Becky Shu Chen, Melissa Songer, Peter Leimgruber

Summary: Understanding historic patterns of land use and land cover change is vital for effective conservation. This study focused on Asian elephants and found that over 64% of suitable elephant habitat in Asia has been lost since 1700, due to colonial-era land-use practices and agricultural intensification. The decline in habitat has led to potential conflicts with humans, and societies need to consider ecological histories and develop sustainable land-use strategies.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2023)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Prioritizing global tall forests toward the 30 x 30 goals

Qiongyu Huang, Jin Xu, Jesse Pan Wong, Volker C. Radeloff, Melissa Songer

Summary: The Global Deal for Nature aims to protect 30% of Earth's land and ocean by 2030. The 30 x 30 initiative is a method for allocating conservation resources and extending protection to vulnerable ecosystems, while reducing carbon emissions. However, most methods for identifying high-value conservation areas do not consider vertical habitat structure. Global tall forests represent a unique vertical habitat structure that should be prioritized in global protected area planning.

CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2023)

Article Ecology

Implications of habitat overlap between giant panda and sambar for sympatric multi-species conservation

Wenke Bai, Jindong Zhang, Ke He, Shanshan Zhao, Xiaodong Gu, Jie Hu, Melissa Songer, Caiquan Zhou, Xin Dong, Qiongyu Huang

Summary: This study analyzes the overlap in habitat area and suitability between giant pandas and sambars in the Wolong National Nature Reserve. The results indicate a high similarity in habitat requirements between the two species, and potential competition over space utilization. Therefore, habitat restoration and corridor construction should be recommended as conservation strategies to alleviate the increased competition associated with niche overlap among sympatric species.

WILDLIFE RESEARCH (2023)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Social science for conservation in working landscapes and seascapes

Nathan J. Bennett, Molly Dodge, Thomas S. Akre, Steven W. J. Canty, Rafael Chiaravalloti, Ashley A. Dayer, Jessica L. Deichmann, David Gill, Melanie McField, James McNamara, Shannon E. Murphy, A. Justin Nowakowski, Melissa Songer

Summary: Biodiversity is declining globally, and integrated landscape and seascape approaches to conservation can be used to protect biodiversity-rich environments where people live and work. However, there has been limited exploration of the potential contributions of conservation social sciences to working landscape and seascape initiatives. A case study using the Smithsonian Working Land and Seascapes initiative identified key human dimensions topics that can inform conservation decision-making and adaptive management, as well as yield broader synthetic and theoretical insights.

FRONTIERS IN CONSERVATION SCIENCE (2022)

Article Ecology

Unraveling human drivers behind complex interrelationships among sustainable development goals: a demonstration in a flagship protected area

Hongbo Yang, Thomas Dietz, Yingjie Li, Yue Dou, Yujun Wang, Qiongyu Huang, Jindong Zhang, Melissa Songer, Jianguo Liu

Summary: Understanding the complex trade-offs and synergies among different sustainable development goals can be achieved by studying the impact of human activities. This study developed a novel approach to assess the influence of four different livelihoods on the interrelationships among specific sustainable development goals. The results demonstrate the usefulness of this approach in informing coherent governance and facilitating progress across social, economic, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development goals simultaneously.

ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY (2022)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Mapping a conservation research network to the Sustainable Development Goals

Steven W. J. Canty, A. Justin Nowakowski, Grant M. Connette, Jessica L. Deichmann, Melissa Songer, Rafael Chiaravalloti, Molly Dodge, Anna T. C. Feistner, Craig Fergus, Jefferson S. Hall, Kimberly J. Komatsu, Reynaldo Linares-Palomino, Melanie McField, Matthew B. Ogburn, Ximena Velez-Zuazo, Thomas S. Akre

Summary: The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals provide a global blueprint to tackle extreme poverty, reduce inequality, and protect the planet. Yet, progress towards these goals is insufficient. By mapping the activities of the Smithsonian Institution to the SDGs, this study demonstrates how conservation actions can contribute to achieving the SDGs and highlights the need for greater coordination and capacity to achieve these goals across different sectors.

CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE (2022)

暂无数据