Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100

A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts

(2021) Ida Sognnaes et al.   Nature Climate Change

Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading

(2020) Zeke Hausfather et al.   NATURE

Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement

(2020) Corinne Le Quéré et al.   Nature Climate Change

RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions

(2020) Christopher R. Schwalm et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

RCP8.5 is a problematic scenario for near-term emissions

(2020) Zeke Hausfather et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

IPCC baseline scenarios have over-projected CO2 emissions and economic growth

(2020) Matthew G Burgess et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway experiments of the 21st Century

(2020) Spencer K. Liddicoat et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

(2020) Brian C. O’Neill et al.   Nature Climate Change

Why do climate change scenarios return to coal?

(2017) Justin Ritchie et al.   ENERGY

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

(2017) Keywan Riahi et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

The trouble with negative emissions

(2016) K. Anderson et al.   SCIENCE

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE