4.4 Article

Hydrologic Regionalization under Data Scarcity: Implications for Streamflow Prediction

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JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING
卷 26, 期 9, 页码 -

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ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002121

关键词

Streamflow prediction; Data scarcity; Regionalization; Flow duration curve; Himalayas

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Continuous streamflow prediction is crucial in water resources planning and management, and this study demonstrates a regionalization approach for predicting daily streamflow in the central Himalayas. The results show better performance in predicting low to medium flows, providing valuable information for operational and management decisions in water sector projects in the region.
Continuous streamflow prediction is crucial in many applications of water resources planning and management. However, streamflow prediction is challenging, particularly in data-scarce regions. This paper demonstrates an approach to regionalize the flow duration curve for predicting daily streamflow in the data-scare region of the central Himalayas. We developed a regression-based model to estimate streamflow at various segments of a flow duration curve by incorporating basin characteristics and climate variables. This study analyzes the sensitivities of proximity and characteristics between the donor (gauged) and receptor (ungauged) basins for time-series streamflow prediction. Our results show that regionalization techniques perform better in low to medium flows over high flows. Our findings are significant in the central Himalayan regional context to inform operational and management decisions in water sector projects like hydropower plants, which generally rely on low-to-medium streamflow information. Although the quantitative results are region-specific, the approach and insights are generalizable to the Himalayan region.

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