Shortened Duration of Global Warming Slowdowns with Elevated Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Causes of Higher Climate Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models

(2020) Mark D. Zelinka et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Tuning the MPI‐ESM1.2 Global Climate Model to Improve the Match With Instrumental Record Warming by Lowering Its Climate Sensitivity

(2020) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models

(2020) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Science Advances

A limited role for unforced internal variability in 20th century warming.

(2019) Karsten Haustein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States

(2018) Judah Cohen et al.   Nature Communications

Global surface warming enhanced by weak Atlantic overturning circulation

(2018) Xianyao Chen et al.   NATURE

Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls

(2017) Stefan Rahmstorf et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The extreme El Niño of 2015-2016 and the end of global warming hiatus

(2017) Shineng Hu et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Consecutive record-breaking high temperatures marked the handover from hiatus to accelerated warming

(2017) Jingzhi Su et al.   Scientific Reports

Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2016) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Communications

Contribution of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation to twentieth-century global surface temperature trends

(2016) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown

(2016) Doug M. Smith et al.   Nature Climate Change

Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

(2016) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends

(2015) Jochem Marotzke et al.   NATURE

Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating

(2015) V. Nieves et al.   SCIENCE

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures

(2015) Byron A. Steinman et al.   SCIENCE

Decadal modulation of global surface temperature by internal climate variability

(2015) Aiguo Dai et al.   Nature Climate Change

Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries

(2014) Nicola Maher et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reconciling warming trends

(2014) Gavin A. Schmidt et al.   Nature Geoscience

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather

(2014) Judah Cohen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Contribution of natural decadal variability to global warming acceleration and hiatus

(2014) Masahiro Watanabe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Cloud tuning in a coupled climate model: Impact on 20th century warming

(2013) Jean-Christophe Golaz et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The cause of the pause

(2013) Isaac M. Held   NATURE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

(2013) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

NOAA's Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis

(2012) Russell S. Vose et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Arctic warming, increasing snow cover and widespread boreal winter cooling

(2012) Judah L Cohen et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions

(2011) Keywan Riahi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The Persistently Variable "Background" Stratospheric Aerosol Layer and Global Climate Change

(2011) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

The Hot Summer of 2010: Redrawing the Temperature Record Map of Europe

(2011) D. Barriopedro et al.   SCIENCE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Mid-1970s Climate Shift in the Pacific and the Relative Roles of Forced versus Inherent Decadal Variability

(2008) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE