Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Chen Zhuo, Guo Junhong, Li Wei, Zhang Fei, Xiao Chan, Pan Zhangrong
Summary: The goal of carbon neutrality opens up a new opportunity for renewable energy development, particularly in wind power. This study evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind speed and energy potential from different climate models and projects the changes in wind speed and wind power density over China's mainland in the future. The results suggest a decrease in wind speed in most regions of China, but an increase in wind energy potential in the southern parts.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Miguel Lagos-Zuniga, Rocio Balmaceda-Huarte, Pedro Regoto, Limbert Torrez, Matias Olmo, Andre Lyra, David Pareja-Quispe, Maria Laura Bettolli
Summary: This study analyzed the capability of three regional climate models (RCMs) to reproduce historical extreme climate indices in South America (SA) and predicted future climate change. The results showed that the models exhibited better agreement in spatial variability than in inter-annual variability, and there were differences in precipitation signals between RCMs and their driving global climate models (GCMs).
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
X. Costoya, M. DeCastro, D. Carvalho, Z. Feng, M. Gomez-Gesteira
Summary: The Chinese offshore wind energy sector is growing rapidly, with the country expected to become the global leader in installed wind energy capacity. Future projections show varying trends in wind power density depending on the season, and most of the Chinese coastal area is classified as having good or excellent wind energy resources.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Csilla Simon, Anna Kis, Csaba Zsolt Torma
Summary: The present research focuses on temperature change signals over the Carpathian Basin with a special focus on selected lowland and mountainous subregions. The high-resolution climate model simulations for near-surface air temperature showed a close match with observations for the reference period (1976-2005).
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
David Garcia-Leon, Ana Casanueva, Gabriele Standardi, Annkatrin Burgstall, Andreas D. Flouris, Lars Nybo
Summary: Research shows that Europe is facing significant economic losses due to reduced labor productivity caused by heatwaves. Future projections suggest that if no action is taken, these impacts could increase by almost five times by 2060.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Mary Catherine Reader, Nadja Steiner
Summary: The Arctic Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (Arctic-CORDEX) validates and projects trends on subregional scales in the Arctic region using regional climate models (RCMs). The study finds that the trends in near-surface temperature, wind speed, precipitation, and snowfall are generally consistent with observations. The research also highlights the significant impact of climate change on the Arctic region, particularly related to summer sea-ice patterns.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Robert Vautard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Iles, Fredrik Boberg, Erasmo Buonomo, Katharina Buelow, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Erik van Meijgaard, Rita Nogherotto, Marit Sandstad, Clemens Schwingshackl, Samuel Somot, Emma Aalbers, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo, Marie-Estelle Demory, Filippo Giorgi, Daniela Jacob, Richard G. Jones, Klaus Keuler, Erik Kjellstrom, Geert Lenderink, Guillaume Levavasseur, Grigory Nikulin, Jana Sillmann, Cosimo Solidoro, Silje Lund Sorland, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer
Summary: The use of regional climate model (RCM) projections in providing regional climate information is expanding rapidly, particularly in Europe. While model simulations generally agree with observations and reanalyses, there are systematic biases identified related to temperature, precipitation, and dynamical variables.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Fulya Islek, Yalcin Yuksel, Cihan Sahin
Summary: The aim of this study is to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on wave climate in the Black Sea until the end of the 21st century. The results show that there is an increase in wave characteristics in the near future, especially in the eastern basin under the RCP8.5 scenario. The changes in annual mean values are more significant under the RCP8.5 scenario than under the RCP4.5 scenario. The study highlights the importance of considering the effects of climate change on extreme wave heights.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kangning Huang, Jiye Leng, Yong Xu, Xinwei Li, Meng Cai, Ran Wang, Chao Ren
Summary: This study introduces a new methodological framework to predict future LCZ maps using the Cellular Automata model, successfully capturing structural changes within cities and providing necessary input datasets for urban climate forecasts.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Tianqi Bai, Like Fan, Genxin Song, Hongquan Song, Xutong Ru, Yaobin Wang, Haopeng Zhang, Ruiqi Min, Weijiao Wang
Summary: In order to understand the potential impact of land use and cover change (LUCC) on future regional climate projections, this study investigated the regional climate response to LUCC under different climate scenarios. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, the study simulated the impacts of future land use/cover changes on the climate of Zhengzhou City, China, based on different SSP-RCP scenarios derived from CMIP6. The results showed an overall increase in temperature by 2060 compared to 2030, and variations in precipitation patterns.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Anu Vijayan, Joseph M. Maina, Rochelle Lawson, Hsing-Chung Chang, Linda J. Beaumont, Peter J. Davies
Summary: Urbanization and climate change are major factors contributing to habitat loss and local extinction rates. Effective management of native vegetation in urban settings requires understanding the impacts of these factors and how species and communities may adapt, as well as identifying climate refugia to support management decisions under urban expansion and climate change pressures.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Fulya Islek, Yalcin Yuksel, Cihan Sahin
Summary: This study uses a regional climate model to depict future wind patterns in the Black Sea, showing that the eastern region will have lower average wind speeds but stronger 99th percentile winds. Considering climate change, the eastern Black Sea is more likely to be impacted, while the western Black Sea demonstrates stable wind energy potential.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Alessandro Dosio, Christopher Lennard, Jonathan Spinoni
Summary: This dataset provides bias-adjusted temperature and precipitation projections for continental Africa based on regional climate model simulations. It can be useful for climate change impact studies in various sectors. The bias-adjustment has a significant impact on extreme temperature-related hazards, increasing the projected risks. However, it generally preserves the original results for precipitation indices.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Javier Diez-Sierra, Maialen Iturbide, Jesus Fernandez, Jose M. Gutierrez, Josipa Milovac, Antonio S. Cofino
Summary: Assessing the regional responses to different global warming levels is a crucial challenge in climate change sciences. This study evaluates the consistency between global and regional projections and finds strong evidence to support the use of regional climate models in studying global warming levels.
Article
Engineering, Civil
Pedro M. M. Soares, Daniela C. A. Lima
Summary: Climate change poses a major threat to Mediterranean countries, leading to reduced precipitation, increased temperature, and more frequent extreme events, resulting in water scarcity and various impacts. Portugal, like other Mediterranean countries, already experiences more frequent droughts and soil moisture deficits. Future projections using a multi-model ensemble show a clear reduction in soil moisture throughout the year, due to decreased precipitation and increased evapotranspiration. The study also reveals an increase in soil moisture deficits, especially in the mid-to-end of the century, and a decrease in surface humidity.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2022)
Article
Economics
N. B. Melnikov, A. P. Gruzdev, M. G. Dalton, M. Weitzel, B. C. O'Neill
Summary: The study parallelized the extended path method for solving rational expectations models in the global economy, and found that the speedup factor for the parallel version grew almost linearly up to about 30 times with 18 cores, reducing computing times from over 10 hours for the serial version down to about 20 minutes. This demonstrates the significant efficiency improvement of the parallel extended path method in high-performance computing environments.
COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS
(2021)
Correction
Environmental Sciences
Brian C. O'Neill, Timothy R. Carter, Kristie Ebi, Paula A. Harrison, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Kasper Kok, Elmar Kriegler, Benjamin L. Preston, Keywan Riahi, Jana Sillmann, Bas J. van Ruijven, Detlef van Vuuren, David Carlisle, Cecilia Conde, Jan Fuglestvedt, Carole Green, Tomoko Hasegawa, Julia Leininger, Seth Monteith, Ramon Pichs-Madruga
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jing Gao, Brian O'Neill
Summary: Research reveals that in recent decades, both developed and developing regions globally have experienced significant expansion of urban built-up land, contrary to previous beliefs. While the spatial and temporal patterns of population and built-up land show distinct differences, their change rates are quite similar on a global scale. Moreover, the majority of the global population still resides in areas with low levels of land development.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Jing Gao, Martino Pesaresi
Summary: The study introduces an algorithm for downscaling urban land projections from 1/8 degree to 1 km resolution, providing support for studies on potential interactions between future urbanization and environmental changes.
Article
Engineering, Environmental
Qingguan Wu, Yong He, Chandra A. Madramootoo, Zhiming Qi, Lulin Xue, Melissa Bukovsky, Qianjing Jiang
Summary: This study assessed the carbon footprint of maize production under different agricultural management practices and scenarios, considering future climate impacts and clean energy use. The results showed that residue returning plays a critical role in reducing the carbon footprint of maize.
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
(2023)
Editorial Material
Geography
Gengchen Mai, Yingjie Hu, Song Gao, Ling Cai, Bruno Martins, Johannes Scholz, Jing Gao, Krzysztof Janowicz
TRANSACTIONS IN GIS
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kanishka B. Narayan, Brian C. O'Neill, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, Claudia Tebaldi
Summary: Understanding income distributions is crucial for analyzing consumption trends and the impact of climate change. Existing projections only focus on the Gini coefficient or assume a lognormal distribution, which underestimates high-income earners and overestimates others. A new model based on national income distribution data provides a better fit for all income deciles. Inequality is consistently higher than previous projections, with some countries having income disparities almost three times higher than assumed under the lognormal assumption.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Forestry
Seth McGinnis, Lee Kessenich, Linda Mearns, Alison Cullen, Harry Podschwit, Melissa Bukovsky
Summary: This study projected the effects of climate change on simultaneous large wildfires in the Western USA, and found that there will be an increase in the number of simultaneous fires in the future, highlighting the importance of considering simultaneity in fire management decision-making.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Jing Gao, Melissa S. Bukovsky
Summary: The study finds that urban land patterns can sometimes decrease rather than increase population exposure to climate extremes, even heat extremes, and that spatial patterns, rather than total quantities of urban land, have a greater influence on population exposures. This provides preliminary suggestions for incorporating long-term climate resilience in urban and regional land-use system designs, and motivates the search for optimal spatial urban land patterns that can consistently moderate population exposures to climate extremes throughout the 21st century.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Olivier Asselin, Martin Leduc, Dominique Paquin, Alejandro Di Luca, Katja Winger, Melissa Bukovsky, Biljana Music, Michel Giguere
Summary: The biogeophysical effects of severe forestation are quantified using regional climate simulations. The results show that forestation has similar effects on climate in North America and Europe, but the effects are more pronounced and concentrated in North America. The response to forestation in the summer varies between regions.
Article
Food Science & Technology
Jialu Xu, Jing Gao, Henrique Vinicius de Holanda, Luis F. Rodriguez, Jose Vicente Caixeta-Filho, Renhai Zhong, Hao Jiang, Haifeng Li, Zhenhong Du, Xuhui Wang, Shaowen Wang, K. C. Ting, Yibin Ying, Tao Lin
Summary: Brazil's soybean and corn production increased more than fourfold from 1980 to 2016, primarily achieved through double cropping and cropland expansion. The contribution patterns of the two strategies were spatiotemporally specific, with double cropping showing increasing impacts over land expansion to the grain boom.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Claudia Tebaldi, Kevin Debeire, Veronika Eyring, Erich Fischer, John Fyfe, Pierre Friedlingstein, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Brian O'Neill, Benjamin Sanderson, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, George Hurtt, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Gerald Meehl, Richard Moss, Susanne E. Bauer, Olivier Boucher, Victor Brovkin, Young-Hwa Byun, Martin Dix, Silvio Gualdi, Huan Guo, Jasmin G. John, Slava Kharin, YoungHo Kim, Tsuyoshi Koshiro, Libin Ma, Dirk Olivie, Swapna Panickal, Fangli Qiao, Xinyao Rong, Nan Rosenbloom, Martin Schupfner, Roland Seferian, Alistair Sellar, Tido Semmler, Xiaoying Shi, Zhenya Song, Christian Steger, Ronald Stouffer, Neil Swart, Kaoru Tachiiri, Qi Tang, Hiroaki Tatebe, Aurore Voldoire, Evgeny Volodin, Klaus Wyser, Xiaoge Xin, Shuting Yang, Yongqiang Yu, Tilo Ziehn
Summary: The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) presents a range of outcomes regarding global climate projections, focusing on geophysical analysis. By comparing CMIP6 projections with CMIP5 results, it is found that there are more variations in future temperature changes than previously thought.
EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS
(2021)
