Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format

A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States

(2019) Nicholas G. Reich et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

(2019) Sebastian Funk et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Reply to Bracher: Scoring probabilistic forecasts to maximize public health interpretability

(2019) Nicholas G. Reich et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions

(2019) Johannes Bracher   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics

(2019) Michael A. Johansson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

On the Comparison of Interval Forecasts

(2018) Ross Askanazi et al.   JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture

(2017) Leonhard Held et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Infectious disease prediction with kernel conditional density estimation

(2017) Evan L. Ray et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Generation and evaluation of space–time trajectories of photovoltaic power

(2016) Faranak Golestaneh et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

Decomposition and graphical portrayal of the quantile score

(2013) Sabrina Bentzien et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation

(2011) P. Pinson et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts

(2011) Tilmann Gneiting   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules

(2010) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS

Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data

(2009) Claudia Czado et al.   BIOMETRICS

Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

(2008) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   TEST