External validation of prognostic models: what, why, how, when and where?

A systematic review and external validation of stroke prediction models demonstrates poor performance in dialysis patients

(2020) Ype de Jong et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

PROBAST: A Tool to Assess the Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies

(2019) Robert F. Wolff et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Reporting of artificial intelligence prediction models

(2019) Gary S Collins et al.   LANCET

Decision analytic modelling was useful to assess the impact of a prediction model on health outcomes before a randomized trial

(2019) Kevin Jenniskens et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Changing predictor measurement procedures affected the performance of prediction models in clinical examples

(2019) Kim Luijken et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Improving the prognosis of patients with severely decreased glomerular filtration rate (CKD G4+): conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

(2018) Kai-Uwe Eckardt et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL

Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: PART II - binary and time-to-event outcomes

(2018) Richard D Riley et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Machine Learning and Prediction in Medicine — Beyond the Peak of Inflated Expectations

(2017) Jonathan H. Chen et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Prediction models for the mortality risk in chronic dialysis patients: a systematic review and independent external validation study

(2017) Chava Ramspek et al.   Clinical Epidemiology

Multinational Assessment of Accuracy of Equations for Predicting Risk of Kidney Failure

(2016) Navdeep Tangri et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Response to letter by Forike et al.: more rigorous, not less, external validation is needed

(2016) George C.M. Siontis et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Prediction models need appropriate internal, internal–external, and external validation

(2016) Ewout W. Steyerberg et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

External validation of clinical prediction models using big datasets from e-health records or IPD meta-analysis: opportunities and challenges

(2016) Richard D Riley et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

External validation of clinical prediction models using big datasets from e-health records or IPD meta-analysis: opportunities and challenges

(2016) Richard D Riley et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and Elaboration

(2015) Karel G.M. Moons et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

External validation of new risk prediction models is infrequent and reveals worse prognostic discrimination

(2015) George C.M. Siontis et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

A new framework to enhance the interpretation of external validation studies of clinical prediction models

(2015) Thomas P.A. Debray et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Sample size considerations for the external validation of a multivariable prognostic model: a resampling study

(2015) Gary S. Collins et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

External validation of multivariable prediction models: a systematic review of methodological conduct and reporting

(2014) Gary S Collins et al.   BMC Medical Research Methodology

New National Allocation Policy for Deceased Donor Kidneys in the United States and Possible Effect on Patient Outcomes

(2014) A. K. Israni et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY OF NEPHROLOGY

Events per variable (EPV) and the relative performance of different strategies for estimating the out-of-sample validity of logistic regression models

(2014) Peter C Austin et al.   STATISTICAL METHODS IN MEDICAL RESEARCH

External validation of a Cox prognostic model: principles and methods

(2013) Patrick Royston et al.   BMC Medical Research Methodology

Risk prediction models: II. External validation, model updating, and impact assessment

(2012) Karel G M Moons et al.   HEART

Risk prediction models: I. Development, internal validation, and assessing the incremental value of a new (bio)marker

(2012) Karel G M Moons et al.   HEART

On the C-statistics for evaluating overall adequacy of risk prediction procedures with censored survival data

(2011) Hajime Uno et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Assessing the Performance of Prediction Models

(2009) Ewout W. Steyerberg et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY

A Comprehensive Risk Quantification Score for Deceased Donor Kidneys: The Kidney Donor Risk Index

(2009) Panduranga S. Rao et al.   TRANSPLANTATION