4.7 Article

Driving forces of carbon emissions in China: a provincial analysis

期刊

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
卷 28, 期 17, 页码 21455-21470

出版社

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-11789-7

关键词

Carbon emissions; Provincial driving forces; LMDI; China

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [71673085]
  2. Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [2018ZD14]
  3. 111 Project [B18021]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

China, the largest carbon dioxide emitter in the world, has made great efforts to retard carbon emission growth over the past decades. Economic growth was the major contributing factor to provincial carbon emissions increase during 2007-2012, while energy intensity effect replaced it during 2012-2017. Upgrading industrial structure and expanding renewable energy can help mitigate provincial carbon growth, with the power sector continuing to contribute to national decarbonization.
China is the largest carbon dioxide emitter in the world. Over the past decades, China has made great efforts to retard the carbon emission growth. This paper aims to quantify the driving forces of stagewise provincial carbon emission changes and expound the bottom-up provincial efforts aligned with China's carbon abatement targets. During 2007-2012, economic growth as the major contributing factor posed a great increase in provincial carbon emissions, especially in underdeveloped provinces such as Inner Mongolia, Anhui, Guangxi, Shaanxi, and Ningxia. During 2012-2017, the energy intensity effect replaced economic growth as the largest contributor to provincial carbon emission changes. In both two periods, industrial structure upgrading and renewable energy expansion are conducive to mitigate provincial carbon growth, and the power sector will continue to contribute to national decarbonization. Lastly, this paper provides insight into national and provincial carbon emission abatement.

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