Article
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Sead Ahmed Swalih, Ercan Kahya
Summary: This study evaluates the impact of incorporating spatial dimension on model calibration and incorporates climate change assessment, finding that multi-gauge calibration significantly improves model performance. However, local gauge calibration is more effective for specific local areas compared to multi-gauge calibration.
JOURNAL OF HYDROINFORMATICS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Nirmal Kumar, Amit Kumar Dubey, Uttam Puri Goswami, Sudhir Kumar Singh
Summary: This research uses remote sensing and modeling techniques to assess hydrological flow dynamics in the Himalayan region and finds that high flows are predicted to increase and short-term high flows will become more frequent in CMIP6 models compared to CMIP5 models. Additionally, the study shows that CMIP6 models are more vulnerable to climate warming compared to CMIP5 models.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Agronomy
Damian Badora, Rafal Wawer, Anna Nierobca, Aleksandra Krol-Badziak, Jerzy Kozyra, Beata Jurga, Eugeniusz Nowocien
Summary: This article presents flow modeling indices of the Bystra River area simulated using the SWAT model under different climate models, showing potential impacts of climate change on water balance and vegetation growth in the region in the coming decades.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Sandeep Shukla, Sanjay K. Jain, Mitthan Lal Kansal
Summary: Himalayan rivers play a crucial role in water supply for northern India, with snowmelt runoff being the main contributor to river discharge. Climate change is expected to increase precipitation and temperature, leading to a rise in streamflow by over 11%-19% at the end of the century under different emissions scenarios.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Civil
G. Z. Ndhlovu, Y. E. Woyessa
Summary: This study successfully simulated hydrological processes in the Zambezi River Basin using high-resolution climate data and SWAT model, which showed that using gridded climate data for hydrological modeling in data scarce regions is an effective method.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Etienne Guilpart, Vahid Espanmanesh, Amaury Tilmant, Francois Anctil
Summary: The impacts of climate and land-use changes have rendered the stationary assumption in hydrology obsolete, leading to considerable uncertainty regarding future climate evolution. Assessing the robustness of hydrological models across a wide range of climates is crucial, as shown by using a hidden Markov model to identify diverse hydrologic sequences in the upper Senegal River basin. This approach provides valuable insights for evaluating the performance of hydrologic models under different climate conditions.
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Pingping Zhang, Yanpeng Cai, Yanhu He, Yulei Xie, Xiaodong Zhang, Zoe Li
Summary: This paper analyzed the effects of climate change and induced vegetation change on hydrological process in the East River Basin through a SWAT-based model. The study found that the effects of vegetation change on hydrological process were larger than that of temperature change, and the western sub-watersheds were more sensitive to the cumulative changes of vegetation and climate.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Damian Badora, Rafal Wawer, Aleksandra Krol-Badziak, Anna Nierobca, Jerzy Kozyra, Beata Jurga
Summary: The study assesses the water balance of the Vistula River basin in 2050 based on climate scenarios and models, highlighting the unclear trends in water management for the coming decades.
Article
Water Resources
Feiyan Xiao, Xunming Wang, Congsheng Fu
Summary: A hydrological simulation study in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin, China, reveals that climate change has a greater impact on streamflow than land use/land cover changes. The volume of Lake Xiaoxingkai slightly increased during 1961-2017, with climate change contributing the most, followed by direct human activities and land use/land cover changes having a negative effect.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Muhammet Yilmaz, Harun Alp, Fatih Tosunoglu, Omer Levend Asikoglu, Ebru Eris
Summary: This study investigates future hydro-meteorological droughts in the Upper Coruh Basin, Turkey using climate projections and a hydrological model. The results suggest that hydrological droughts may become more severe in the future, but there is a significant amount of uncertainty.
Article
Water Resources
Arun Mondal, Manh-Hung Le, Venkataraman Lakshmi
Summary: This study focuses on changes in land use, climate, and water resources in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta, using publicly available earth observations and models to improve understanding of past changes and future scenarios for decision making. The analysis includes agricultural crops, climatic parameters, and streamflow projection, providing valuable insights for water resources managers and decision-makers in the region.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
(2022)
Article
Water Resources
Han Ma, Lei Zhong, Yunfei Fu, Meilin Cheng, Xian Wang, Ming Cheng, Yaoxin Chang
Summary: This study assesses the combined impacts of global climate change and human activities on the hydrological processes in the Fuhe River Basin. The results indicate that future flow and water availability will experience significant changes, leading to more frequent and severe floods and droughts.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Gebrekidan Worku, Ermias Teferi, Amare Bantider, Yihun T. Dile
Summary: This study examines the response of hydrological processes to different climate change scenarios in the Jemma sub-basin of the Blue Nile Basin. The results suggest that climate change may lead to decreased precipitation, increased temperature, reduced surface runoff, total water yield, and increased evapotranspiration in the area. The study recommends water management structures to conserve water for agriculture and ecosystem services in the Jemma sub-basin and similar areas in Ethiopia.
CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Suraj Kumar Singh, Shruti Kanga, Bhavneet Gulati, Mirna Raic, Bhartendu Sajan, Bojan Durin, Saurabh Singh
Summary: This research employs the SWAT+ model to study hydrological dynamics in the Beas Basin. The objectives include accurately quantifying water balance, simulating key hydrological components, and analyzing trends in fluvial discharge and sediment transport. The findings have practical implications for water resource management and provide a direction for future research.
Article
Water Resources
Ali Bennour, Li Jia, Massimo Menenti, Chaolei Zheng, Yelong Zeng, Beatrice Asenso Barnieh, Min Jiang
Summary: The study investigates the impacts of land use/land cover change and climate variability on the water balance components in the Senegal river, Niger river, and Lake Chad basins. The results show that climate variability has a dominant role in increasing groundwater recharge, surface runoff, groundwater return flow, and lateral flow, while land use/land cover change affects actual evapotranspiration and surface runoff differently.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, Jonas Van de Walle, Danijel Belusic, Segolene Berthou, Erika Coppola, Matthias Demuzere, Andreas H. Fink, Declan L. Finney, Russell Glazer, Patrick Ludwig, John H. Marsham, Grigory Nikulin, Joaquim G. Pinto, David P. Rowell, Minchao Wu, Wim Thiery
Summary: The CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study ELVIC aims to investigate the evolution of extreme weather events in the Lake Victoria basin and provide improved information for the climate impact community. The study finds that convection-permitting scale simulations show substantial improvements in the representation of moist convective systems, especially in metrics related to deep convection. These models have the potential to be valuable tools for studying future extreme precipitation events in the region.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kevin Sterckx, Philippe Delandmeter, Jonathan Lambrechts, Eric Deleersnijder, Piet Verburg, Wim Thiery
Summary: In this study, future changes in the hydrodynamics of Lake Tanganyika under a high emission scenario were projected using a three-dimensional model. The advantages of the three-dimensional simulation compared to one-dimensional models were demonstrated, showing its ability to capture the seasonal variability of the lake. The simulation results indicate that without curbing global greenhouse gas emissions, the temperature increase in the lake will lead to stratification and hinder deep water ventilation, resulting in extreme changes for Lake Tanganyika.
ENVIRONMENTAL FLUID MECHANICS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Lualawi Mareshet Admasu, Luke Grant, Wim Thiery
Summary: Statistical and dynamical modeling techniques are used to downscale global climate model (GCM) outputs to practical resolutions for local- or regional-scale applications. However, current techniques do not incorporate the effects of land-use and land-cover changes. This study explores a new downscaling technique that maps tile-level GCM outputs to high-resolution land-cover maps and accounts for the effect of topography.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Luke Grant, Lukas Gudmundsson, Edouard L. Davin, David M. Lawrence, Nicolas Vuichard, Eddy Robertson, Roland Seferian, Aurelien Ribes, Annette L. Hirsch, Wim Thiery
Summary: Land use changes can affect climates by altering surface fluxes of energy and water. However, observational and model-based studies have inconsistent temperature responses to land use. This study uses a detection and attribution method to assess the historical signal of land use on daily maximum temperatures. The findings show that uncertainties in Earth system model representations of land use are too high to confidently assess its effects.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Albert Nkwasa, Katharina Waha, Ann van Griensven
Summary: Climate change poses a significant threat to agriculture in the Nile basin due to the large projected impacts and limited ability to adapt. Previous assessments have primarily focused on single-cropping systems, which may not accurately represent the different cropping systems in the basin. In this study, we examine the effects of climate change on both single- and double-cropping systems in the Nile basin, highlighting the importance of considering multiple-cropping systems in agricultural assessments.
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Fang Li, Junya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Akihiko Ito, Dong Kun Lee, Wim Thiery
Summary: Fires and their emissions have multiple impacts on the environment and society, including negative effects on human health, terrestrial ecosystems, and climate change. Previous studies focused on the influence of climate change and population growth but didn't consider the compound effects of economic development and land use change. In this research, we analyzed fire carbon emissions in the 21st century by changing five factors. Global future fire carbon emissions were found to decrease due to increased GDP per capita and improved fire management. Meteorological factors had a strong influence, with boreal forests expected to experience increased fires due to fuel dryness. This study provides valuable insights for climate change researchers to consider fire-carbon interactions and develop mitigation and adaptation plans.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Guillaume Ghisbain, Wim Thiery, Francois Massonnet, Diana Erazo, Pierre Rasmont, Denis Michez, Simon Dellicour
Summary: A quantitative study of past, present and future ecological suitability of Europe for bumblebees finds that for 38-76% of species now considered non-threatened, suitable territory could decrease by at least 30% by 2061-2080.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Angelo Carlino, Matthias Wildemeersch, Celray James Chawanda, Matteo Giuliani, Sebastian Sterl, Wim Thiery, Ann van Griensven, Andrea Castelletti
Summary: Across continental Africa, over 300 new hydropower projects are being considered to meet future energy demand. However, uncertainties from hydroclimatic and socioeconomic changes pose challenges to hydropower planning. This study reveals that only 40-68% of the potential hydropower capacity in Africa is economically attractive. By analyzing different scenarios of energy demand, land-use change, and climate impacts, it is found that wind and solar energy will outcompete hydropower by 2030.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Estifanos Addisu Yimer, Fatima-Ezzahra Riakhi, Ryan T. Bailey, Jiri Nossent, Ann van Griensven
Summary: Agricultural water drainage can have negative impacts on groundwater levels and catchment hydrology. This study developed a coupled model, integrating the standalone Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) with a physically based groundwater module (gwflow), to simulate streamflow and groundwater dynamics. The results showed that the standalone SWAT+ model had poor performance in representing stream discharge, while integrating the gwflow module improved the model simulation. Calibrating the model for both streamflow and groundwater head further improved the simulation accuracy. The study also found that agricultural drainage significantly reduced groundwater saturation excess flow and increased drainage water to streams. Overall, the coupled SWAT+gwflow model is more suitable for this case study, and considering both surface and groundwater in model calibration is beneficial.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
A. Al-Yaari, Y. Zhao, F. Cheruy, W. Thiery
Summary: This study analyzes the representation of heatwaves in CMIP6 models and evaluates their performance against global reanalysis and observations. It investigates how heatwaves are projected to change at different global warming levels. The results show that the models perform reasonably well in representing time-related criteria but have larger uncertainty in capturing the magnitude of heatwaves. The projections indicate that heatwave occurrence, spatial extension, and duration will increase globally at different global warming levels, but with strong regional variability and model dependency.
Correction
Environmental Sciences
Sonali McDermid, Mallika Nocco, Patricia Lawston-Parker, Jessica Keune, Yadu Pokhrel, Meha Jain, Jonas Jagermeyr, Luca Brocca, Christian Massari, Andrew D. Jones, Pouya Vahmani, Wim Thiery, Yi Yao, Andrew Bell, Liang Chen, Wouter Dorigo, Naota Hanasaki, Scott Jasechko, Min-Hui Lo, Rezaul Mahmood, Vimal Mishra, Nathaniel D. Mueller, Dev Niyogi, Sam S. Rabin, Lindsey Sloat, Yoshihide Wada, Luca Zappa, Fei Chen, Benjamin I. Cook, Hyungjun Kim, Danica Lombardozzi, Jan Polcher, Dongryeol Ryu, Joe Santanello, Yusuke Satoh, Sonia Seneviratne, Deepti Singh, Tokuta Yokohata
NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Remote Sensing
Estifanos Addisu Yimer, Shahla Yadollahi, Fatima-Ezzahra Riakhi, Abdennabi Alitane, Imeshi Weerasinghe, Charlotte Wirion, Jiri Nossent, Ann van Griensven
Summary: Remote sensing using satellites has great potential for monitoring surface processes. This study uses three approaches to identify possible drainage unit locations: existing benchmark techniques and a novel complementary approach based on groundwater table depth. The study area comprises a site in Ontario, Canada, and the Kleine Nete catchment, Belgium.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Shruti Nath, Lukas Gudmundsson, Jonas Schwaab, Gregory Duveiller, Steven J. De Hertog, Suqi Guo, Felix Havermann, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Julia Pongratz, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Carl F. Schleussner, Wim Thiery, Quentin Lejeune
Summary: A framework is proposed to explore the biogeophysical responses of climate under customized tree cover change scenarios using a computationally inexpensive emulator. This framework provides a first step towards addressing the information gap regarding the biogeophysical implications of land cover changes, enabling smarter land use decision making.
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Karina von Schuckmann, Audrey Miniere, Flora Gues, Francisco Jose Cuesta-Valero, Gottfried Kirchengast, Susheel Adusumilli, Fiammetta Straneo, Michael Ablain, Richard P. Allan, Paul M. Barker, Hugo Beltrami, Alejandro Blazquez, Tim Boyer, Lijing Cheng, John Church, Damien Desbruyeres, Han Dolman, Catia M. Domingues, Almudena Garcia-Garcia, Donata Giglio, John E. Gilson, Maximilian Gorfer, Leopold Haimberger, Maria Z. Hakuba, Stefan Hendricks, Shigeki Hosoda, Gregory C. Johnson, Rachel Killick, Brian King, Nicolas Kolodziejczyk, Anton Korosov, Gerhard Krinner, Mikael Kuusela, Felix W. Landerer, Moritz Langer, Thomas Lavergne, Isobel Lawrence, Yuehua Li, John Lyman, Florence Marti, Ben Marzeion, Michael Mayer, Andrew H. MacDougall, Trevor McDougall, Didier Paolo Monselesan, Jan Nitzbon, Ines Otosaka, Jian Peng, Sarah Purkey, Dean Roemmich, Kanak Sato, Katsunari Sato, Abhishek Savita, Axel Schweiger, Andrew Shepherd, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Leon Simons, Donald A. Slater, Thomas Slater, Andrea K. Steiner, Toshio Suga, Tanguy Szekely, Wim Thiery, Mary-Louise Timmermans, Inne Vanderkelen, Susan E. Wjiffels, Tonghua Wu, Michael Zemp
Summary: The Earth climate system is experiencing an energy imbalance, with continuous heat accumulation over the past decades. The majority of this heat is stored in the ocean, followed by land, atmosphere, and the cryosphere. The Earth energy imbalance is a fundamental indicator of global climate change and should be incorporated into climate monitoring efforts.
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA
(2023)