Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Megan M. Miller, Manoochehr Shirzaei
Summary: Using VLM and SLR projections, a study quantifies flood risks in Texas and predicts that by 2100, a portion of the land will subside below sea level. Subsidence increases the inundation area, ultimately resulting in a 39% extension of the affected total area.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Marvin Lorenz, Arne Arns, Ulf Graewe
Summary: Coastal lagoons can attenuate extreme water levels compared to the open sea, but their protective property is expected to decrease due to sea-level rise. This study investigates the non-linear interactions between tides, storm surges, freshwater fluxes, and sea-level rise in idealized lagoons. The results show that maximum water levels inside lagoons can rise faster than sea-level rise due to non-linear attenuation changes, while for strongly choked lagoons, the maximum water levels rise slower than sea-level rise.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Yuyu Ma, Yajie Wu, Zhuxiao Shao, Tonggang Cao, Bingchen Liang
Summary: This study developed an integrally-coupled tide-surge wave model to simulate storm tides and waves in the coastal area of Qingdao. The results showed that sea level rise and typhoon intensification had significant impacts on tides within Jiaozhou Bay, with a greater effect during the flood and ebb period. The study also revealed that the effects of sea level rise and typhoon intensification on storm tides and waves varied and were different in Jiaozhou Bay and along the open coast. Therefore, using a coupled model is crucial for estimating the potential maximum risk of storm surges and waves in the coastal area of Qingdao.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Zhi-Yong Long, Liang Gao
Summary: A numerical model is developed to simulate the compound flood scenarios of storm surge and sea level rise in Macao Peninsula. The results show that the flooding area caused by storm surges is mainly distributed in the west and northwest of the peninsula. In the worst-case scenario of 200-year-return-period storm surge and 1-meter sea level rise, the flooding area accounts for 41.1% of the land area, and the population at risk reaches 68.4% of the total population.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Seung-Won Suh, Myeong-Hee Lee
Summary: The vulnerability to coastal disasters resulting from storm surges and wave overtopping is increasing due to rising sea levels. This study used a unified modeling system to simulate the vulnerability to wave overtopping in the Northwest Pacific Ocean. The results showed that vulnerability to wave overtopping intensifies with rising sea levels. The integrated model can be used for long-term coastal protection design and short-term storm surge early warning systems.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Soroush Kouhi, M. Reza Hashemi, Malcolm Spaulding, Tetsu Hara
Summary: Storm-surge models are used to assess the impacts of hurricanes and coastal storms in coastal areas, and including sea level rise is necessary for realistic flood risk assessment. Linear superposition of sea level rise may lead to inaccuracies, while developing a nonlinear model is time-consuming. By comparing the linear and nonlinear approaches, it is found that the linear approach is generally conservative in predicting flood elevations compared to the nonlinear approach.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Rachel J. Perks, Dan Bernie, Jason Lowe, Robert Neal
Summary: When local extreme water levels surpass defences, the consequences can be devastating. We assess the importance of sea-level rise and future weather pattern changes on UK coastal flood impacts. The study found that sea-level rise dominates future coastal risk and is highly linked to the future emission scenarios.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Yongdong Zhou, Zekai Ni, Philip Adam Vetter, Hongzhou Xu, Bo Hong, Hui Wang, Wenshan Li, Sumin Liu
Summary: This study used the SCHISM model to simulate storm surges in the northwestern South China Sea under future sea level rise scenarios, using super typhoon Rammasun as a case study. The results showed that the accuracy of storm surge hindcast was significantly improved by using reconstructed wind forcing.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Maqsood Mansur, Julia Hopkins, Qin Chen
Summary: This study investigates the sensitivity of Calcasieu Lake estuarine region in southwest Louisiana, USA, to channel deepening. The results show that deepening the channel increases the inland penetration of storm surge and vulnerable to flood. The study also analyzes the impact of channel deepening on storm surge in estuaries under future sea-level rise scenarios, suggesting an increase in flood risk.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Tina Dura, Andra J. Garner, Robert Weiss, Robert E. Kopp, Simon E. Engelhart, Robert C. Witter, Richard W. Briggs, Charles S. Mueller, Alan R. Nelson, Benjamin P. Horton
Summary: The study found that future relative sea-level rise will lead to more frequent distant-source tsunamis along the southern California coast, potentially exceeding historically observed levels. Under high-emission scenarios, lower magnitude earthquakes in the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone may produce larger tsunamis in the future.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Aikaterini P. Kyprioti, Alexandros A. Taflanidis, Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo, Madison O. Campbell
Summary: Surrogate modeling techniques have become popular in dealing with the computational burden of high-fidelity storm surge numerical models over the past decade. This study investigates different computational aspects for incorporating Sea Level Rise (SLR) as an input within such a surrogate modeling framework, utilizing a database of 300 synthetic tropical cyclones developed by the US Army Corps of Engineers. Various issues such as validation metrics, cross-validation techniques, and hyper-parameter calibration are addressed to improve the accuracy of the surrogate models.
Article
Engineering, Marine
Dong Eun Lee, Jaehee Kim, Yujin Heo, Hyunjin Kang, Eun Young Lee
Summary: The study found that climate change does not have a significant impact on extreme sea level events, but the frequency of winter extreme events is significantly associated with climatic indices.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Sunke Trace-Kleeberg, Ivan D. Haigh, Marc Walraven, Susan Gourvenec
Summary: Sea-level rise, changes in storminess, population growth, and coastward migration are increasing the risks of coastal flooding. This paper evaluates the changes in past and future water levels exceeding the maintenance threshold to inform management, maintenance and operation strategies, and design of storm surge barriers. Findings highlight the need for maintenance strategies to adapt to the effects of sea-level rise and natural inter-annual tidal cycles to ensure the operational longevity of storm surge barriers.
COASTAL ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jian Su, Elin Andree, Jacob W. Nielsen, Steffen M. Olsen, Kristine S. Madsen
Summary: The study highlights the rapid rise of sea levels along the Danish North Sea coast compared to the central Skagerrak-Kattegat Seas, where sea level rise is relatively slower. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, it is projected that sea levels in the Danish North Sea region will increase by over 40 cm by the end of the twenty-first century.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Oceanography
Jie Yang, Feng Yan, Meixiang Chen
Summary: This study examined the impact of future sea level rise on storm surges using numerical frameworks and satellite altimetry data. The findings suggest that sea level rise will not only alter storm surge responses, but also affect tidal ranges and waves, ultimately influencing the magnitude of storm surges.
CONTINENTAL SHELF RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Mohammad Hossein Kazeminezhad, Ivica Vilibic, Clea Denamiel, Parvin Ghafarian, Samaneh Negah
Summary: This study investigates the atmospheric system driving a destructive meteotsunami event in the northern Persian Gulf on 19 March 2017, which caused coastal inundations and casualties. The research reveals the interaction between intense convective systems and oceanic responses, leading to the formation of meteotsunami waves through Proudman resonance. Further study on the physical mechanisms and hazard assessments of meteotsunamis along the affected coastline is recommended.
Article
Oceanography
Masoud Moradi
Summary: This study evaluated the accuracy of satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentrations in the Persian Gulf, finding that they tended to overestimate in situ measurements, with merged datasets providing higher estimates compared to single-sensor products.
CONTINENTAL SHELF RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Aerospace
Masoud Moradi
Summary: Wavelet Transform (WT) has remarkable advantages for feature extraction and denoising of satellite-derived ocean color time series datasets. In this study, 57 mother wavelets (MWTs) were investigated to find the optimal wavelet functions for WT analysis of ocean color time series datasets. Various statistical indexes and a quantitative model were used to evaluate the similarity and correlation between decomposed and denoised signals and the original signals. The results showed that the db10 and db5 wavelets from the Daubechies family were the best options for denoising and decomposition of Chl-a series.
ADVANCES IN SPACE RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Masoud Moradi
Summary: The study investigated the variability of phytoplankton in the Caspian Sea using wavelet analysis. The results showed that the variability of phytoplankton concentration is regulated by different periodic cycles and is related to climate indices. Furthermore, environmental factors such as precipitation, sea surface temperature, and wind stress also influence the variability of phytoplankton.
JOURNAL OF GREAT LAKES RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Oceanography
Mojtaba Zoljoodi, Masoud Moradi, Nooshin Moradi
Summary: This study analyzed the spatial and temporal patterns of climatological seasonality, interannual variability, and phytoplankton phenology in the Persian Gulf from 1998 to 2020 using satellite-derived ocean color chlorophyll-a data. The results identified two distinct regions with different Chl-a levels and observed episodic shifts in phytoplankton growth in December-January and May-September. The study also discussed the correlation between phytoplankton phenology and factors such as wind stress, solar radiation, and Sea Surface Temperature.
CONTINENTAL SHELF RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Parvin Ghafarian, Keivan Kabiri, Amir H. Delju, Mehri Fallahi
Summary: The present study aimed to analyze the frequency distribution of dust events over the northern Persian Gulf (NPG) using long-term data. The results showed that the western part of the Persian Gulf was more affected by dust deposition transported by strong northwesterly winds from Iraqi deserts, while the eastern part experienced wind-induced dust. Kish Island had the highest frequency of dust events, while Siri Island had the highest frequency of dust storms due to high-speed winds and proximity to Saudi Arabian deserts. Dust events from external sources mostly occurred in summer and late spring, while domestic dust storms were most frequent in spring. The occurrence of dust events was influenced by atmospheric instability in the transitional season of spring. Furthermore, the intensity of dust storms varied depending on precipitation and drought in the region. The study concluded that atmospheric patterns, precipitation rate, wind speed/direction, and distance from dust sources contributed to the occurrence of dust storm events over the NPG.
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Ecology
Keivan Kabiri
Summary: This study proposed a method for estimating the Secchi disk depth in the northern Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman using MODIS-K-d(490) data. The optimal power model Z(sd) = 0.34 K-d(490)(-1.42) was determined to calculate the Z(sd) values in the study area. The method was validated using field-observed data and showed good performance in assessing the spatiotemporal variation of water clarity in the region.
REGIONAL STUDIES IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Keivan Kabiri
Summary: This study used Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 satellite data to estimate water clarity in the near-shore zone. Comparing the results of the two satellite data models, it was found that the S2A/MSI model had slightly higher accuracy, and the accuracy improved when both imagers were utilized in the integrated model.
JOURNAL OF COASTAL CONSERVATION
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Masoud Moradi, Mojtaba Zoljoodi
Summary: Selecting appropriate in-situ and satellite matchups is crucial for evaluating and applying ocean color products in optically complex coastal waters. This article examines the performance of seven Chl-a products in the Persian Gulf using bio-optical and Chl-a measurements from 531 stations. The study finds that satellite estimations are mostly consistent with Chl-a concentrations in the first optical depth, but surface measurements may not represent satellite-derived Chl-a. Through QC tests based on proxy measurements, the correlation between satellite-derived Chl-a and Chlopt improves significantly. Statistical calibration is then used to create quality-controlled calibrated Chl-a maps. The findings highlight the importance of quality control experiments for validating ocean color Chl-a products in turbid coastal waters.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SYSTEMS
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Mohammad Hossein Kazeminezhad, Farrokh Alavian Ghavanini
Summary: An operational wave forecasting system using GFS winds for the Arabian Sea was presented and evaluated. The WAVEWATCH III (WWIII) model was used for wave forecasting with different input-dissipation parameterizations. The performance of the forecasting system was evaluated by comparing the forecasted significant wave heights (Hs) with measured data. The results showed that the forecasted data from different source term packages were well adapted to the measured data during the southwest monsoon, with ST3 and ST4 packages outperforming the others.
Article
Marine & Freshwater Biology
Hamed Ghanaatian, Alireza Safahieh, Keivan Kabiri, Ahmad Savari, Mohamad Reza Mohamadzadeh, Khosrow Darvishi
Summary: There are several tern species that breed in Iran during summer, usually on safe islands. However, an unusual occurrence took place at the Iran-Reshadat shipwreck where Bridled Terns laid eggs on the sunken ship's deck pillars. Despite the presence of fishing boats around the ship, the terns felt safe and continued nesting at this location.
MARINE ORNITHOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Keivan Kabiri
Summary: In this study, the clarity/transparency of seawater in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman was estimated using Sentinel-3A and Sentinel-3B OLCI satellite data. Two procedures were evaluated, and the optimal model developed in this research showed more efficiency compared to the existing model. The results provided a suggested model for estimating Z(sd) values in the study area.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Abdolmajid Naderi Beni, Nick Marriner, Arash Sharifi, Jafar Azizpour, Keivan Kabiri, Morteza Djamali, Alan Kirman
Summary: The Persian Gulf Region is facing socio-economic and political crises due to ongoing global change and the need to transition to a post-oil era. Climate change impacts are exacerbated by political differences among PGR nations, hindering integrated environmental management. Transitioning to alternative revenue sources requires readiness amidst environmental obstacles, political tensions, and rivalries. Collaborative regional efforts and investment in research and education are essential for a successful shift to a knowledge-based economy.
Article
Archaeology
Abdolmajid Naderi Beni, Hamid Lahijani, Hossein Tofighian, Frederic Guibal, Keivan Kabiri, Timmy Gambin, Morteza Djamali, Hamidreza Abaie, Vali Jahani
JOURNAL OF ARCHAEOLOGICAL SCIENCE-REPORTS
(2020)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Himadri Sen Gupta, Tarun Adluri, Dylan Sanderson, Andres D. Gonzalez, Charles D. Nicholson, Daniel Cox
Summary: This study proposes a multi-objective optimization model to determine optimal retrofitting strategies to enhance community resilience under multiple hazards. The model is applied to analyze the impact of earthquake and tsunami hazards on the community of Seaside, Oregon. The results show that retrofitting buildings to achieve higher seismic codes can significantly reduce the impact of natural hazards on structural damage, population dislocation, and building repair times. It highlights the importance of considering geographical location and mitigation measures when optimizing retrofitting strategies.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2024)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Huiying Sun, Zhenhua Di, Peihua Qin, Shenglei Zhang, Yang Lang
Summary: This study explored the spatio-temporal variations of drought-flood-disaster (DFD) risks in China using natural and socio-economic datasets. The main findings include the decrease in vulnerability, the increasing flood hazard danger degree, and the close relationship between disaster risk and vulnerability. The results have important implications for disaster management decision-making.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2024)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Nicholas Kimutis, Tamara Wall, Lyndsey Darrow
Summary: Overall, emergency management plans for extreme heat events in the U.S. show some level of consistency, but there are significant variations in response thresholds and metrics across different locations. Some cities have started adapting response thresholds based on local epidemiological studies, but there are still areas that have not lowered thresholds during cascading hazard events.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2024)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Chengfang Huang, Ning Li, Zhengtao Zhang, Yuan Liu
Summary: The economic impact of disasters is closely related to regional economic development. China's economic development is conducive to reducing the economic impact of disasters, but regional differences need to be clarified in policy formulation, with reducing indirect impact as a higher priority in more developed areas.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2024)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Chiara Bruni, Bruno Aparicio, Beatriz Lourenco, Martinho Marta-Almeida, Akli Benali, Susana Barreiro, Alfredo Rocha, Ana C. L. Sa
Summary: This study analyzes the wildfire hazard in a 115,000 ha landscape in Portugal and explores the threat posed to assets of pulp paper companies. It finds that eucalypt plantations not managed by the companies, particularly those with ages between 6 and 9 years, present a major risk. Over half of the landscape has the potential for large wildfires.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2024)
