How historic simulation–observation discrepancy affects future warming projections in a very large model ensemble

Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus

(2015) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

The hiatus and accelerated warming decades in CMIP5 simulations

(2014) Yi Song et al.   ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Short-Lived Climate Pollution

(2014) R.T. Pierrehumbert   Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences

Sensitivity of climate to cumulative carbon emissions due to compensation of ocean heat and carbon uptake

(2014) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

SST and ENSO variability and change simulated in historical experiments of CMIP5 models

(2013) Bhaskar Jha et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations*

(2013) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Allowable carbon emissions lowered by multiple climate targets

(2013) Marco Steinacher et al.   NATURE

Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage

(2013) Thomas Lukas Frölicher et al.   Nature Climate Change

Stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: A model intercomparison

(2012) Andrew J. Weaver et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Transient Climate Response in a Two-Layer Energy-Balance Model. Part II: Representation of the Efficacy of Deep-Ocean Heat Uptake and Validation for CMIP5 AOGCMs

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The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

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Dynamically and Observationally Constrained Estimates of Water-Mass Distributions and Ages in the Global Ocean

(2011) Tim DeVries et al.   JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY

Quantifying the feedback between ocean heating and CO2solubility as an equivalent carbon emission

(2009) Philip Goodwin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Importance of Ocean Heat Uptake Efficacy to Transient Climate Change

(2009) Michael Winton et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

(2009) H. Damon Matthews et al.   NATURE

Climate sensitivity to the carbon cycle modulated by past and future changes in ocean chemistry

(2009) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

Setting cumulative emissions targets to reduce the risk of dangerous climate change

(2009) K. Zickfeld et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA